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icon for US congress stock trading ban before 2027?

US congress stock trading ban before 2027?

icon for US congress stock trading ban before 2027?

US congress stock trading ban before 2027?

dic 31

dic 31

11% probabilità
Polymarket

$18,353 Vol.

11% probabilità
Polymarket

$18,353 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. **Bipartisan bills to restrict congressional stock trading, such as the Stop Insider Trading Act, advanced through House and Senate committees in early 2026 but stalled without floor votes or passage amid disagreements over scope, enforcement, and exemptions.** Multiple measures, including discharge petitions and calls for immediate rules changes, failed to secure sufficient support, with one petition stalling at 82 signatures as midterms approached. Recent introductions in March and May 2026 and ongoing advocacy from members across parties have kept the issue visible, yet procedural hurdles, competing priorities, and election-year dynamics have prevented enactment. With the 119th Congress focused on narrower transparency steps rather than outright prohibitions, traders assign only an 8.5% chance of a ban clearing both chambers and the White House before 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$18,353
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:50 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. **Bipartisan bills to restrict congressional stock trading, such as the Stop Insider Trading Act, advanced through House and Senate committees in early 2026 but stalled without floor votes or passage amid disagreements over scope, enforcement, and exemptions.** Multiple measures, including discharge petitions and calls for immediate rules changes, failed to secure sufficient support, with one petition stalling at 82 signatures as midterms approached. Recent introductions in March and May 2026 and ongoing advocacy from members across parties have kept the issue visible, yet procedural hurdles, competing priorities, and election-year dynamics have prevented enactment. With the 119th Congress focused on narrower transparency steps rather than outright prohibitions, traders assign only an 8.5% chance of a ban clearing both chambers and the White House before 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$18,353
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:50 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"US congress stock trading ban before 2027?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni "Sì" o "No" in base a se credono che questo evento accadrà. La probabilità attuale aggregata è 11% per "Yes". Ad esempio, se "Sì" è quotato a 11¢, il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 11% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "US congress stock trading ban before 2027?" ha generato $18.4K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Nov 5, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "US congress stock trading ban before 2027?", scegli semplicemente se ritieni che la risposta sia "Sì" o "No". Ogni lato ha un prezzo corrente che riflette la probabilità implicita del mercato. Inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se compri azioni "Sì" e l'esito si risolve come "Sì", ogni azione paga $1. Se si risolve come "No", le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

La probabilità attuale per "US congress stock trading ban before 2027?" è 11% per "Yes". Questo significa che la comunità Polymarket attualmente ritiene che ci sia una probabilità di 11% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale basandosi sulle operazioni effettive, fornendo un segnale continuamente aggiornato di ciò che il mercato si aspetta accada.

Le regole di risoluzione per "US congress stock trading ban before 2027?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.