The House passage of the Stop Insider Trading Act in July 2026 advanced a measure restricting congressional stock purchases, yet Senate action remains stalled amid competing legislative priorities and procedural hurdles. Earlier Senate versions introduced in 2025 have lingered in committee without floor votes, reflecting institutional resistance and the challenges of securing sufficient support in a divided chamber. With limited session time remaining before 2027 and no recent breakthrough announcements or votes, traders assign low odds to full enactment and presidential signature within the window. This consensus aligns with historical patterns where ethics reforms on member trading have repeatedly advanced in one chamber but faltered before becoming law.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
11% probabilità
$19,619 Vol.
$19,619 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
11% probabilità
$19,619 Vol.
$19,619 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The House passage of the Stop Insider Trading Act in July 2026 advanced a measure restricting congressional stock purchases, yet Senate action remains stalled amid competing legislative priorities and procedural hurdles. Earlier Senate versions introduced in 2025 have lingered in committee without floor votes, reflecting institutional resistance and the challenges of securing sufficient support in a divided chamber. With limited session time remaining before 2027 and no recent breakthrough announcements or votes, traders assign low odds to full enactment and presidential signature within the window. This consensus aligns with historical patterns where ethics reforms on member trading have repeatedly advanced in one chamber but faltered before becoming law.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercato aperto: Nov 5, 2025, 2:50 PM ET
Volume
$19,619Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The House passage of the Stop Insider Trading Act in July 2026 advanced a measure restricting congressional stock purchases, yet Senate action remains stalled amid competing legislative priorities and procedural hurdles. Earlier Senate versions introduced in 2025 have lingered in committee without floor votes, reflecting institutional resistance and the challenges of securing sufficient support in a divided chamber. With limited session time remaining before 2027 and no recent breakthrough announcements or votes, traders assign low odds to full enactment and presidential signature within the window. This consensus aligns with historical patterns where ethics reforms on member trading have repeatedly advanced in one chamber but faltered before becoming law.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$19,619Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The House passage of the Stop Insider Trading Act in July 2026 advanced a measure restricting congressional stock purchases, yet Senate action remains stalled amid competing legislative priorities and procedural hurdles. Earlier Senate versions introduced in 2025 have lingered in committee without floor votes, reflecting institutional resistance and the challenges of securing sufficient support in a divided chamber. With limited session time remaining before 2027 and no recent breakthrough announcements or votes, traders assign low odds to full enactment and presidential signature within the window. This consensus aligns with historical patterns where ethics reforms on member trading have repeatedly advanced in one chamber but faltered before becoming law.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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