The April 12 first-round vote produced a fragmented field of 35 candidates, with final tallies released in mid-May confirming Keiko Fujimori in first place at roughly 17 percent while a narrow contest for second determined the runoff pairing. Traders have assigned near-certain probability to outcomes outside the listed combinations, reflecting how vote shares for Rafael López Aliaga, Roberto Sánchez Palomino, and others fell short of securing the exact matchups priced in the market. Peru’s runoff system requires the top two finishers to advance to the June 7 contest, and the completed count has locked in that structure. Late legal challenges or verified irregularities in remaining precincts could still shift the second-place finisher, though such developments remain low-probability at this stage.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoAltro 100.0%
López Aliaga & López Chau <1%
López Aliaga e Nieto <1%
López Chau & Fujimori <1%
$1,181,384 Vol.
$1,181,384 Vol.
12 apr 2026
López Aliaga & López Chau
No
López Aliaga e Nieto
No
López Chau & Fujimori
No
López Chau & Nieto
No
López Chau & Sánchez Palomino
No
López Aliaga & Fujimori
No
López Aliaga e Sánchez Palomino
No
López Aliaga & Grozo
No
Fujimori & Nieto
No
Altro
Sì
Altro 100.0%
López Aliaga & López Chau <1%
López Aliaga e Nieto <1%
López Chau & Fujimori <1%
$1,181,384 Vol.
$1,181,384 Vol.
12 apr 2026
López Aliaga & López Chau
$32,074 Vol.
No
López Aliaga e Nieto
$37,781 Vol.
No
López Chau & Fujimori
$70,918 Vol.
No
López Chau & Nieto
$22,414 Vol.
No
López Chau & Sánchez Palomino
$27,130 Vol.
No
López Aliaga & Fujimori
$409,528 Vol.
No
López Aliaga e Sánchez Palomino
$46,580 Vol.
No
López Aliaga & Grozo
$13,043 Vol.
No
Fujimori & Nieto
$209,427 Vol.
No
Altro
$312,491 Vol.
Sì
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).The April 12 first-round vote produced a fragmented field of 35 candidates, with final tallies released in mid-May confirming Keiko Fujimori in first place at roughly 17 percent while a narrow contest for second determined the runoff pairing. Traders have assigned near-certain probability to outcomes outside the listed combinations, reflecting how vote shares for Rafael López Aliaga, Roberto Sánchez Palomino, and others fell short of securing the exact matchups priced in the market. Peru’s runoff system requires the top two finishers to advance to the June 7 contest, and the completed count has locked in that structure. Late legal challenges or verified irregularities in remaining precincts could still shift the second-place finisher, though such developments remain low-probability at this stage.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Mercato aperto: Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ET
Volume
$1,181,384Data di fine
12 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).The April 12 first-round vote produced a fragmented field of 35 candidates, with final tallies released in mid-May confirming Keiko Fujimori in first place at roughly 17 percent while a narrow contest for second determined the runoff pairing. Traders have assigned near-certain probability to outcomes outside the listed combinations, reflecting how vote shares for Rafael López Aliaga, Roberto Sánchez Palomino, and others fell short of securing the exact matchups priced in the market. Peru’s runoff system requires the top two finishers to advance to the June 7 contest, and the completed count has locked in that structure. Late legal challenges or verified irregularities in remaining precincts could still shift the second-place finisher, though such developments remain low-probability at this stage.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Volume
$1,181,384Data di fine
12 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The April 12 first-round vote produced a fragmented field of 35 candidates, with final tallies released in mid-May confirming Keiko Fujimori in first place at roughly 17 percent while a narrow contest for second determined the runoff pairing. Traders have assigned near-certain probability to outcomes outside the listed combinations, reflecting how vote shares for Rafael López Aliaga, Roberto Sánchez Palomino, and others fell short of securing the exact matchups priced in the market. Peru’s runoff system requires the top two finishers to advance to the June 7 contest, and the completed count has locked in that structure. Late legal challenges or verified irregularities in remaining precincts could still shift the second-place finisher, though such developments remain low-probability at this stage.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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