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Politica·Primarie

Chi avanzerà dalle primarie del Governatore della California?

icon for Chi avanzerà dalle primarie del Governatore della California?
Politica·Primarie

Chi avanzerà dalle primarie del Governatore della California?

$660,979 Vol.

2 giu 2026
Polymarket

$660,979 Vol.

Polymarket

Steve Hilton

$41,846 Vol.

74%

Xavier Becerra

$14,026 Vol.

68%

Tom Steyer

$26,279 Vol.

45%

Matt Mahan

$23,131 Vol.

6%

Elaine Culotti

$299 Vol.

3%

Ethan Agarwal

$3,507 Vol.

3%

Chad Bianco

$34,377 Vol.

3%

Jimmy Parker

$1,453 Vol.

2%

Ryan Tillman

$1,950 Vol.

2%

Antonio Villaraigosa

$12,721 Vol.

2%

David Thelen

$1,250 Vol.

2%

Katie Porter

$11,472 Vol.

2%

Nicki Minaj

$3,958 Vol.

2%

Ché Ahn

$18,442 Vol.

2%

Thunder Parley

$53,760 Vol.

2%

Ian Calderon

$114,143 Vol.

2%

Raji Rab

$7,425 Vol.

1%

Zoltan Istvan

$12,280 Vol.

1%

Brandon Jones

$42,159 Vol.

1%

Kyle Langford

$11,755 Vol.

1%

Leonard Jackson

$3,821 Vol.

1%

Butch Ware

$8,550 Vol.

1%

Betty Yee

$5,090 Vol.

1%

Derek Grasty

$23,467 Vol.

1%

Eric Swalwell

$73,919 Vol.

1%

Tony Thurmond

$12,064 Vol.

1%

Sophia Brink

$37,863 Vol.

1%

Daniel Mercuri

$10,772 Vol.

1%

Javen Allen

$1,161 Vol.

7%

Carolina Buhler

$8,811 Vol.

1%

David Serpa

$4,924 Vol.

1%

Nicholas Thompson

$7,072 Vol.

1%

Ramsey Robinson

$4,581 Vol.

1%

Leo Zacky

$6,433 Vol.

1%

Dylan Colbert

$14,920 Vol.

1%

Sharifah Hardie

$1,506 Vol.

<1%

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.The fragmented field of Democratic candidates in California's June 2 top-two primary continues to shape trader assessments of advancement, as polls show no single Democrat consistently leading a vote split across multiple contenders including Xavier Becerra, Tom Steyer, and Katie Porter. Republican frontrunners Steve Hilton and Chad Bianco have benefited from this division, with Hilton gaining after former President Trump's April endorsement consolidated some GOP support. Eric Swalwell's withdrawal amid controversy shifted additional backing toward Becerra in recent surveys. Recent candidate forums have highlighted differences on housing, taxes, and public safety, while the June primary timeline leaves limited room for further consolidation before voters determine the two finalists for November.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Volume
$660,979
Data di fine
2 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 4, 2025, 5:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.The fragmented field of Democratic candidates in California's June 2 top-two primary continues to shape trader assessments of advancement, as polls show no single Democrat consistently leading a vote split across multiple contenders including Xavier Becerra, Tom Steyer, and Katie Porter. Republican frontrunners Steve Hilton and Chad Bianco have benefited from this division, with Hilton gaining after former President Trump's April endorsement consolidated some GOP support. Eric Swalwell's withdrawal amid controversy shifted additional backing toward Becerra in recent surveys. Recent candidate forums have highlighted differences on housing, taxes, and public safety, while the June primary timeline leaves limited room for further consolidation before voters determine the two finalists for November.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Volume
$660,979
Data di fine
2 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 4, 2025, 5:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.

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"Chi avanzerà dalle primarie del Governatore della California?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 36 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Steve Hilton" a 74%, seguito da "Xavier Becerra" a 68%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 74¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 74% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Chi avanzerà dalle primarie del Governatore della California?" ha generato $661K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Dec 4, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Chi avanzerà dalle primarie del Governatore della California?", esplora i 36 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Chi avanzerà dalle primarie del Governatore della California?" è "Steve Hilton" a 74%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 74% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Xavier Becerra" a 68%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Chi avanzerà dalle primarie del Governatore della California?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.