Alberta separatists with the Stay Free Alberta group submitted a citizen-initiated petition on May 4 boasting over 302,000 signatures—exceeding the 177,000 threshold—to trigger a provincial referendum on secession from Canada, fueling trader optimism for a vote potentially in October 2026. However, a 30-day judicial pause for validation, ongoing legal challenges, and Premier Danielle Smith's opposition to independence while backing the referendum process create uncertainty, keeping the market tightly contested at 50.5% No. Quebec shows no similar activity. Court approval of signatures could schedule the vote and tip toward Yes; rejection or federal intervention would favor No before the 2027 deadline. A separate provincial referendum on nine sovereignty-related questions is set for October 19.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$410,785 Vol.
$410,785 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
$410,785 Vol.
$410,785 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any provincial government in Canada officially schedules a referendum concerning the province’s potential secession from Canada, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any referendum that establishes the province's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify, whether the referendum is binding or non-binding.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Alberta separatists with the Stay Free Alberta group submitted a citizen-initiated petition on May 4 boasting over 302,000 signatures—exceeding the 177,000 threshold—to trigger a provincial referendum on secession from Canada, fueling trader optimism for a vote potentially in October 2026. However, a 30-day judicial pause for validation, ongoing legal challenges, and Premier Danielle Smith's opposition to independence while backing the referendum process create uncertainty, keeping the market tightly contested at 50.5% No. Quebec shows no similar activity. Court approval of signatures could schedule the vote and tip toward Yes; rejection or federal intervention would favor No before the 2027 deadline. A separate provincial referendum on nine sovereignty-related questions is set for October 19.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any provincial government in Canada officially schedules a referendum concerning the province’s potential secession from Canada, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any referendum that establishes the province's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify, whether the referendum is binding or non-binding.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Any referendum that establishes the province's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify, whether the referendum is binding or non-binding.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Nov 5, 2025, 2:24 PM ET
Volume
$410,785Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any provincial government in Canada officially schedules a referendum concerning the province’s potential secession from Canada, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any referendum that establishes the province's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify, whether the referendum is binding or non-binding.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Alberta separatists with the Stay Free Alberta group submitted a citizen-initiated petition on May 4 boasting over 302,000 signatures—exceeding the 177,000 threshold—to trigger a provincial referendum on secession from Canada, fueling trader optimism for a vote potentially in October 2026. However, a 30-day judicial pause for validation, ongoing legal challenges, and Premier Danielle Smith's opposition to independence while backing the referendum process create uncertainty, keeping the market tightly contested at 50.5% No. Quebec shows no similar activity. Court approval of signatures could schedule the vote and tip toward Yes; rejection or federal intervention would favor No before the 2027 deadline. A separate provincial referendum on nine sovereignty-related questions is set for October 19.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any provincial government in Canada officially schedules a referendum concerning the province’s potential secession from Canada, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any referendum that establishes the province's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify, whether the referendum is binding or non-binding.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Any referendum that establishes the province's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify, whether the referendum is binding or non-binding.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$411,360Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Alberta separatists with the Stay Free Alberta group submitted a citizen-initiated petition on May 4 boasting over 302,000 signatures—exceeding the 177,000 threshold—to trigger a provincial referendum on secession from Canada, fueling trader optimism for a vote potentially in October 2026. However, a 30-day judicial pause for validation, ongoing legal challenges, and Premier Danielle Smith's opposition to independence while backing the referendum process create uncertainty, keeping the market tightly contested at 50.5% No. Quebec shows no similar activity. Court approval of signatures could schedule the vote and tip toward Yes; rejection or federal intervention would favor No before the 2027 deadline. A separate provincial referendum on nine sovereignty-related questions is set for October 19.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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