South Korea’s former president Yoon Suk-yeol remains in detention following his February 2026 conviction on insurrection charges tied to the 2024 martial law declaration, for which he received a life sentence. The Seoul Central District Court ruling has moved through appeals, with the Supreme Court upholding a related seven-year sentence in July 2026 while Yoon continues facing additional proceedings. South Korean judicial processes for such cases typically involve extended review periods before any potential release or parole eligibility, and no recent court orders or executive actions have altered his custody status. Traders assign the 92.5 percent probability to “No” on release before 2027 based on these confirmed convictions, ongoing appeals, and historical patterns in high-profile political cases where sentences remain in force pending final resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoYoon out of custody before 2027?
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
7% probabilità
$196,748 Vol.
$196,748 Vol.
31 dic 2026
7% probabilità
$196,748 Vol.
$196,748 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.South Korea’s former president Yoon Suk-yeol remains in detention following his February 2026 conviction on insurrection charges tied to the 2024 martial law declaration, for which he received a life sentence. The Seoul Central District Court ruling has moved through appeals, with the Supreme Court upholding a related seven-year sentence in July 2026 while Yoon continues facing additional proceedings. South Korean judicial processes for such cases typically involve extended review periods before any potential release or parole eligibility, and no recent court orders or executive actions have altered his custody status. Traders assign the 92.5 percent probability to “No” on release before 2027 based on these confirmed convictions, ongoing appeals, and historical patterns in high-profile political cases where sentences remain in force pending final resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET
Volume
$196,748Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.South Korea’s former president Yoon Suk-yeol remains in detention following his February 2026 conviction on insurrection charges tied to the 2024 martial law declaration, for which he received a life sentence. The Seoul Central District Court ruling has moved through appeals, with the Supreme Court upholding a related seven-year sentence in July 2026 while Yoon continues facing additional proceedings. South Korean judicial processes for such cases typically involve extended review periods before any potential release or parole eligibility, and no recent court orders or executive actions have altered his custody status. Traders assign the 92.5 percent probability to “No” on release before 2027 based on these confirmed convictions, ongoing appeals, and historical patterns in high-profile political cases where sentences remain in force pending final resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$196,748Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...South Korea’s former president Yoon Suk-yeol remains in detention following his February 2026 conviction on insurrection charges tied to the 2024 martial law declaration, for which he received a life sentence. The Seoul Central District Court ruling has moved through appeals, with the Supreme Court upholding a related seven-year sentence in July 2026 while Yoon continues facing additional proceedings. South Korean judicial processes for such cases typically involve extended review periods before any potential release or parole eligibility, and no recent court orders or executive actions have altered his custody status. Traders assign the 92.5 percent probability to “No” on release before 2027 based on these confirmed convictions, ongoing appeals, and historical patterns in high-profile political cases where sentences remain in force pending final resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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