Former President Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody following his February 2026 conviction and life sentence for insurrection over the December 2024 martial law declaration, with prosecutors previously seeking the death penalty in the Seoul Central District Court case. He has appealed the verdict to a specialized Seoul High Court panel handling rebellion matters, a process expected to extend well beyond the immediate term given the case's complexity and multiple concurrent trials. Additional April 2026 appeals court rulings added further prison time on related obstruction charges, also under review by higher courts. These confirmed convictions and the standard multi-stage appeals timeline in South Korea have shaped trader consensus around an 88% implied probability that Yoon will not be released before 2027, reflecting the low likelihood of swift reversal or bail in high-profile political cases.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoYoon out of custody before 2027?
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
$76,654 Vol.
$76,654 Vol.
31 dic 2026
$76,654 Vol.
$76,654 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former President Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody following his February 2026 conviction and life sentence for insurrection over the December 2024 martial law declaration, with prosecutors previously seeking the death penalty in the Seoul Central District Court case. He has appealed the verdict to a specialized Seoul High Court panel handling rebellion matters, a process expected to extend well beyond the immediate term given the case's complexity and multiple concurrent trials. Additional April 2026 appeals court rulings added further prison time on related obstruction charges, also under review by higher courts. These confirmed convictions and the standard multi-stage appeals timeline in South Korea have shaped trader consensus around an 88% implied probability that Yoon will not be released before 2027, reflecting the low likelihood of swift reversal or bail in high-profile political cases.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET
Volume
$76,654Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former President Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody following his February 2026 conviction and life sentence for insurrection over the December 2024 martial law declaration, with prosecutors previously seeking the death penalty in the Seoul Central District Court case. He has appealed the verdict to a specialized Seoul High Court panel handling rebellion matters, a process expected to extend well beyond the immediate term given the case's complexity and multiple concurrent trials. Additional April 2026 appeals court rulings added further prison time on related obstruction charges, also under review by higher courts. These confirmed convictions and the standard multi-stage appeals timeline in South Korea have shaped trader consensus around an 88% implied probability that Yoon will not be released before 2027, reflecting the low likelihood of swift reversal or bail in high-profile political cases.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$76,654Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Former President Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody following his February 2026 conviction and life sentence for insurrection over the December 2024 martial law declaration, with prosecutors previously seeking the death penalty in the Seoul Central District Court case. He has appealed the verdict to a specialized Seoul High Court panel handling rebellion matters, a process expected to extend well beyond the immediate term given the case's complexity and multiple concurrent trials. Additional April 2026 appeals court rulings added further prison time on related obstruction charges, also under review by higher courts. These confirmed convictions and the standard multi-stage appeals timeline in South Korea have shaped trader consensus around an 88% implied probability that Yoon will not be released before 2027, reflecting the low likelihood of swift reversal or bail in high-profile political cases.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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