**Yoon Suk-yeol remains in detention following his February 2026 life sentence for insurrection tied to the December 2024 martial law declaration, compounded by a June 2026 30-year term for drone operations over North Korea and a Supreme Court-upheld seven-year penalty for obstructing justice.** Ongoing appeals have not altered his custody status, and South Korean procedures provide no automatic release pending higher-court review in such cases. Recent September 2026 acquittals on perjury and abuse-of-power charges in related proceedings do not affect the primary convictions or open any immediate path to freedom. Traders price the low likelihood of release before December 31, 2026, around these confirmed judicial outcomes, the absence of pardon indications under the current administration, and structural barriers to early exit for a former president facing stacked multi-year terms.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoYoon out of custody before 2027?
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
7% probabilità
$204,997 Vol.
$204,997 Vol.
31 dic 2026
7% probabilità
$204,997 Vol.
$204,997 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Yoon Suk-yeol remains in detention following his February 2026 life sentence for insurrection tied to the December 2024 martial law declaration, compounded by a June 2026 30-year term for drone operations over North Korea and a Supreme Court-upheld seven-year penalty for obstructing justice.**
Ongoing appeals have not altered his custody status, and South Korean procedures provide no automatic release pending higher-court review in such cases. Recent September 2026 acquittals on perjury and abuse-of-power charges in related proceedings do not affect the primary convictions or open any immediate path to freedom. Traders price the low likelihood of release before December 31, 2026, around these confirmed judicial outcomes, the absence of pardon indications under the current administration, and structural barriers to early exit for a former president facing stacked multi-year terms.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET
Volume
$204,997Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Yoon Suk-yeol remains in detention following his February 2026 life sentence for insurrection tied to the December 2024 martial law declaration, compounded by a June 2026 30-year term for drone operations over North Korea and a Supreme Court-upheld seven-year penalty for obstructing justice.**
Ongoing appeals have not altered his custody status, and South Korean procedures provide no automatic release pending higher-court review in such cases. Recent September 2026 acquittals on perjury and abuse-of-power charges in related proceedings do not affect the primary convictions or open any immediate path to freedom. Traders price the low likelihood of release before December 31, 2026, around these confirmed judicial outcomes, the absence of pardon indications under the current administration, and structural barriers to early exit for a former president facing stacked multi-year terms.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$204,997Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...**Yoon Suk-yeol remains in detention following his February 2026 life sentence for insurrection tied to the December 2024 martial law declaration, compounded by a June 2026 30-year term for drone operations over North Korea and a Supreme Court-upheld seven-year penalty for obstructing justice.** Ongoing appeals have not altered his custody status, and South Korean procedures provide no automatic release pending higher-court review in such cases. Recent September 2026 acquittals on perjury and abuse-of-power charges in related proceedings do not affect the primary convictions or open any immediate path to freedom. Traders price the low likelihood of release before December 31, 2026, around these confirmed judicial outcomes, the absence of pardon indications under the current administration, and structural barriers to early exit for a former president facing stacked multi-year terms.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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