Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a blockbuster Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.8 trillion at 39.5% implied probability, propelled by pre-IPO trading platforms like Jupiter valuing shares at over $1.2 trillion as of early May 2026—surpassing OpenAI amid explosive enterprise adoption of Claude large language models and $30 billion annualized revenue. April reports of $30-50 billion funding talks at $850-900 billion valuation, post-February's $380 billion Series G round, underscore frontier AI leadership and Amazon-Google partnerships fueling the rally. Lower brackets trail as historical AI IPO premiums and October 2026 listing preparations diminish no-IPO-by-2027 odds to 13%, though regulatory scrutiny or market corrections pose risks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日1.8T+ 40%
1.2–1.5T 16%
0.9–1.2T 14%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 13%
$45,247 Vol.
$45,247 Vol.
<0.6T
3%
0.6–0.9T
6%
0.9–1.2T
14%
1.2–1.5T
16%
1.5–1.8T
13%
1.8T+
40%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
13%
1.8T+ 40%
1.2–1.5T 16%
0.9–1.2T 14%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 13%
$45,247 Vol.
$45,247 Vol.
<0.6T
3%
0.6–0.9T
6%
0.9–1.2T
14%
1.2–1.5T
16%
1.5–1.8T
13%
1.8T+
40%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
13%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日: Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a blockbuster Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.8 trillion at 39.5% implied probability, propelled by pre-IPO trading platforms like Jupiter valuing shares at over $1.2 trillion as of early May 2026—surpassing OpenAI amid explosive enterprise adoption of Claude large language models and $30 billion annualized revenue. April reports of $30-50 billion funding talks at $850-900 billion valuation, post-February's $380 billion Series G round, underscore frontier AI leadership and Amazon-Google partnerships fueling the rally. Lower brackets trail as historical AI IPO premiums and October 2026 listing preparations diminish no-IPO-by-2027 odds to 13%, though regulatory scrutiny or market corrections pose risks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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