Recent May 2026 data showing a 2.1% month-over-month slowdown in Argentine consumer prices—below expectations—while the year-over-year rate edged to 33.6% has kept trader consensus split between the sub-20% and 30.0-34.9% bands for 2026 annual inflation. Analyst projections from the IMF, OECD, and Reuters polls cluster near 29-31%, reflecting ongoing disinflation under President Milei’s fiscal balance and monetary tightening, tempered by price inertia and relative adjustments. The near-even implied probabilities highlight uncertainty over whether monthly momentum sustains toward lower teens or stalls amid sticky services and external risks, with resolution hinging on forthcoming INDEC prints and central bank policy signals through year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日30.0-34.9% 29.3%
25-29.9% 21%
20〜24.9% 11.2%
20%未満 10.4%
$11,078 Vol.
$11,078 Vol.
20%未満
10%
20〜24.9%
11%
25-29.9%
21%
30.0-34.9%
29%
35~39.9%
9%
40〜44.9%
6%
45%以上
4%
30.0-34.9% 29.3%
25-29.9% 21%
20〜24.9% 11.2%
20%未満 10.4%
$11,078 Vol.
$11,078 Vol.
20%未満
10%
20〜24.9%
11%
25-29.9%
21%
30.0-34.9%
29%
35~39.9%
9%
40〜44.9%
6%
45%以上
4%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
マーケット開始日: Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent May 2026 data showing a 2.1% month-over-month slowdown in Argentine consumer prices—below expectations—while the year-over-year rate edged to 33.6% has kept trader consensus split between the sub-20% and 30.0-34.9% bands for 2026 annual inflation. Analyst projections from the IMF, OECD, and Reuters polls cluster near 29-31%, reflecting ongoing disinflation under President Milei’s fiscal balance and monetary tightening, tempered by price inertia and relative adjustments. The near-even implied probabilities highlight uncertainty over whether monthly momentum sustains toward lower teens or stalls amid sticky services and external risks, with resolution hinging on forthcoming INDEC prints and central bank policy signals through year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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