Polymarket traders overwhelmingly price a no-change decision at the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting (93% implied probability), reflecting Banxico's May 7 announcement of a 25 basis-point cut to 6.50%—its third reduction this year—coupled with explicit signals that this marks the end of the current easing cycle amid a split board vote. April CPI eased to 4.45% year-on-year from 4.59%, supporting disinflation toward the 3% target, though persistent core pressures above 4% underscore the restrictive stance. A strong peso and weak Q1 GDP growth reinforce pause expectations, aligned with Fed divergence. Realistic challenges include hotter-than-expected May inflation data or sharper economic slowdown prompting dissent for further easing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日No change 94.5%
Decrease 5.8%
Increase 3.8%
$10,987 Vol.
$10,987 Vol.
2026/06/25
Decrease
6%
No change
95%
Increase
4%
No change 94.5%
Decrease 5.8%
Increase 3.8%
$10,987 Vol.
$10,987 Vol.
2026/06/25
Decrease
$649 Vol.
6%
No change
$9,185 Vol.
95%
Increase
$1,153 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders overwhelmingly price a no-change decision at the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting (93% implied probability), reflecting Banxico's May 7 announcement of a 25 basis-point cut to 6.50%—its third reduction this year—coupled with explicit signals that this marks the end of the current easing cycle amid a split board vote. April CPI eased to 4.45% year-on-year from 4.59%, supporting disinflation toward the 3% target, though persistent core pressures above 4% underscore the restrictive stance. A strong peso and weak Q1 GDP growth reinforce pause expectations, aligned with Fed divergence. Realistic challenges include hotter-than-expected May inflation data or sharper economic slowdown prompting dissent for further easing.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
マーケット開始日： Mar 27, 2026, 4:41 PM ET
音量
$10,987終了日
2026/06/25マーケット開始日
Mar 27, 2026, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders overwhelmingly price a no-change decision at the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting (93% implied probability), reflecting Banxico's May 7 announcement of a 25 basis-point cut to 6.50%—its third reduction this year—coupled with explicit signals that this marks the end of the current easing cycle amid a split board vote. April CPI eased to 4.45% year-on-year from 4.59%, supporting disinflation toward the 3% target, though persistent core pressures above 4% underscore the restrictive stance. A strong peso and weak Q1 GDP growth reinforce pause expectations, aligned with Fed divergence. Realistic challenges include hotter-than-expected May inflation data or sharper economic slowdown prompting dissent for further easing.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
音量
$10,987終了日
2026/06/25マーケット開始日
Mar 27, 2026, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders overwhelmingly price a no-change decision at the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting (93% implied probability), reflecting Banxico's May 7 announcement of a 25 basis-point cut to 6.50%—its third reduction this year—coupled with explicit signals that this marks the end of the current easing cycle amid a split board vote. April CPI eased to 4.45% year-on-year from 4.59%, supporting disinflation toward the 3% target, though persistent core pressures above 4% underscore the restrictive stance. A strong peso and weak Q1 GDP growth reinforce pause expectations, aligned with Fed divergence. Realistic challenges include hotter-than-expected May inflation data or sharper economic slowdown prompting dissent for further easing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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