Flávio Bolsonaro leads the market for second place in Brazil's October 4 presidential election first round due to Jair Bolsonaro's December endorsement consolidating right-wing support behind the Liberal Party senator. Recent Quaest and Futura polls show Lula da Silva holding a narrow first-round edge around 38-42 percent while Flávio trails closely at 33-37 percent, far ahead of fragmented challengers including Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema at 4-5 percent each. A leaked audio scandal tied to the Banco Master case in mid-May has introduced some uncertainty, yet trader consensus still prices Flávio at 62 percent for second place amid low single-digit shares for Renan Santos, Michelle Bolsonaro and others. The polarized field and limited crossover from centrist or left-leaning voters reinforce this positioning ahead of the runoff threshold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ 62%
ルイス・イナシオ・ルラ・ダ・シルヴァ 16%
レナン・サントス 8.8%
ロメウ・ゼマ 4.5%
$3,526,217 Vol.
$3,526,217 Vol.
2026/10/04
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ
62%
ルイス・イナシオ・ルラ・ダ・シルヴァ
16%
レナン・サントス
9%
ロメウ・ゼマ
4%
ミシェル・ボルソナロ
3%
フェルナンド・ハダジ
3%
カミロ・サンタナ
2%
ロナルド・カイアド
1%
ジェラウド・アルキミン
1%
タルシジオ・デ・フレイタス
<1%
ハチーニョ・ジュニオール
<1%
アルド・ヘベロ
<1%
エドゥアルド・ボルソナロ
<1%
エルデル・バルバリョ
<1%
ジャイール・ボルソナロ
<1%
エドゥアルド・レイチ
<1%
テレーザ・クリスティナ
<1%
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ 62%
ルイス・イナシオ・ルラ・ダ・シルヴァ 16%
レナン・サントス 8.8%
ロメウ・ゼマ 4.5%
$3,526,217 Vol.
$3,526,217 Vol.
2026/10/04
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ
$56,396 Vol.
62%
ルイス・イナシオ・ルラ・ダ・シルヴァ
$67,576 Vol.
16%
レナン・サントス
$997,974 Vol.
9%
ロメウ・ゼマ
$256,649 Vol.
4%
ミシェル・ボルソナロ
$72,836 Vol.
3%
フェルナンド・ハダジ
$651,403 Vol.
3%
カミロ・サンタナ
$56,064 Vol.
2%
ロナルド・カイアド
$289,157 Vol.
1%
ジェラウド・アルキミン
$123,364 Vol.
1%
タルシジオ・デ・フレイタス
$111,040 Vol.
<1%
ハチーニョ・ジュニオール
$642,631 Vol.
<1%
アルド・ヘベロ
$29,825 Vol.
<1%
エドゥアルド・ボルソナロ
$48,401 Vol.
<1%
エルデル・バルバリョ
$2,260 Vol.
<1%
ジャイール・ボルソナロ
$77,363 Vol.
<1%
エドゥアルド・レイチ
$40,500 Vol.
<1%
テレーザ・クリスティナ
$2,853 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro leads the market for second place in Brazil's October 4 presidential election first round due to Jair Bolsonaro's December endorsement consolidating right-wing support behind the Liberal Party senator. Recent Quaest and Futura polls show Lula da Silva holding a narrow first-round edge around 38-42 percent while Flávio trails closely at 33-37 percent, far ahead of fragmented challengers including Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema at 4-5 percent each. A leaked audio scandal tied to the Banco Master case in mid-May has introduced some uncertainty, yet trader consensus still prices Flávio at 62 percent for second place amid low single-digit shares for Renan Santos, Michelle Bolsonaro and others. The polarized field and limited crossover from centrist or left-leaning voters reinforce this positioning ahead of the runoff threshold.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
マーケット開始日： Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
音量
$3,526,217終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro leads the market for second place in Brazil's October 4 presidential election first round due to Jair Bolsonaro's December endorsement consolidating right-wing support behind the Liberal Party senator. Recent Quaest and Futura polls show Lula da Silva holding a narrow first-round edge around 38-42 percent while Flávio trails closely at 33-37 percent, far ahead of fragmented challengers including Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema at 4-5 percent each. A leaked audio scandal tied to the Banco Master case in mid-May has introduced some uncertainty, yet trader consensus still prices Flávio at 62 percent for second place amid low single-digit shares for Renan Santos, Michelle Bolsonaro and others. The polarized field and limited crossover from centrist or left-leaning voters reinforce this positioning ahead of the runoff threshold.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
音量
$3,526,217終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Flávio Bolsonaro leads the market for second place in Brazil's October 4 presidential election first round due to Jair Bolsonaro's December endorsement consolidating right-wing support behind the Liberal Party senator. Recent Quaest and Futura polls show Lula da Silva holding a narrow first-round edge around 38-42 percent while Flávio trails closely at 33-37 percent, far ahead of fragmented challengers including Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema at 4-5 percent each. A leaked audio scandal tied to the Banco Master case in mid-May has introduced some uncertainty, yet trader consensus still prices Flávio at 62 percent for second place amid low single-digit shares for Renan Santos, Michelle Bolsonaro and others. The polarized field and limited crossover from centrist or left-leaning voters reinforce this positioning ahead of the runoff threshold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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