Augusto Cury leads trader consensus for third place in Brazil’s October 4 first round, followed closely by Renan Santos, as recent polls place both ahead of Ronaldo Caiado and other minor candidates behind frontrunners Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro. Cury’s polling gains stem from increased visibility after late-August debates and interviews, where his anti-polarization positioning and self-help author profile appealed to voters seeking alternatives to the dominant contest. Santos has maintained support through digital outreach and anti-establishment messaging but trails slightly in most September surveys. The tight margin between the two reflects a fragmented field of outsiders, with limited consolidation among center-right or independent voters. Further debates, Supreme Court-related developments, or shifts in rejection rates for the top two could widen or reverse their relative positions before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日アウグスト・クリー 44.7%
レナン・サントス 40%
ロナウド・カイアード 14%
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ <1%
$1,171,279 Vol.
$1,171,279 Vol.
アウグスト・クリー
45%
レナン・サントス
40%
ロナウド・カイアード
14%
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ
1%
ロメウ・ゼマ
1%
ルイス・イナシオ・ルーラ・ダ・シルヴァ
<1%
パブロ・マルシャル
<1%
タルシジオ・デ・フレイタス
<1%
ジャイール・ボルソナーロ
<1%
フェルナンド・ハダジ
<1%
ミシェル・ボルソナロ
<1%
エドゥアルド・ボルソナロ
<1%
ハチーニョ・ジュニオール
<1%
カミロ・サンタナ
<1%
ジェラウド・アルキミン
<1%
アルド・レベロ
<1%
エドゥアルド・レイチ
<1%
テレザ・クリスチナ
<1%
エルデル・バルバリョ
<1%
アウグスト・クリー 44.7%
レナン・サントス 40%
ロナウド・カイアード 14%
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ <1%
$1,171,279 Vol.
$1,171,279 Vol.
アウグスト・クリー
45%
レナン・サントス
40%
ロナウド・カイアード
14%
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ
1%
ロメウ・ゼマ
1%
ルイス・イナシオ・ルーラ・ダ・シルヴァ
<1%
パブロ・マルシャル
<1%
タルシジオ・デ・フレイタス
<1%
ジャイール・ボルソナーロ
<1%
フェルナンド・ハダジ
<1%
ミシェル・ボルソナロ
<1%
エドゥアルド・ボルソナロ
<1%
ハチーニョ・ジュニオール
<1%
カミロ・サンタナ
<1%
ジェラウド・アルキミン
<1%
アルド・レベロ
<1%
エドゥアルド・レイチ
<1%
テレザ・クリスチナ
<1%
エルデル・バルバリョ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
マーケット開始日： Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
リゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Augusto Cury leads trader consensus for third place in Brazil’s October 4 first round, followed closely by Renan Santos, as recent polls place both ahead of Ronaldo Caiado and other minor candidates behind frontrunners Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro. Cury’s polling gains stem from increased visibility after late-August debates and interviews, where his anti-polarization positioning and self-help author profile appealed to voters seeking alternatives to the dominant contest. Santos has maintained support through digital outreach and anti-establishment messaging but trails slightly in most September surveys. The tight margin between the two reflects a fragmented field of outsiders, with limited consolidation among center-right or independent voters. Further debates, Supreme Court-related developments, or shifts in rejection rates for the top two could widen or reverse their relative positions before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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