The close race for third place in Brazil’s October 2026 first-round presidential election reflects vote fragmentation across multiple right-leaning and centrist candidates behind frontrunners Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro. Recent resignations by governors Romeu Zema of Minas Gerais and Ronaldo Caiado of Goiás to launch their bids have positioned them as credible alternatives, while Renan Santos of the Mission Party has risen quickly on anti-establishment messaging and Free Brazil Movement ties. This crowded field keeps Zema and Santos nearly tied for the position, with traders pricing limited consolidation so far. Upcoming polling releases, potential endorsements from other state leaders, or withdrawals by lower-polling contenders could shift momentum and clarify the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ロメウ・ゼマ 32%
レナン・サントス 31%
ロナウド・カイアード 19%
ミシェル・ボルソナロ 5.0%
$281,596 Vol.
$281,596 Vol.
2026/10/04
ロメウ・ゼマ
32%
レナン・サントス
31%
ロナウド・カイアード
19%
ミシェル・ボルソナロ
5%
フェルナンド・ハダジ
4%
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ
4%
エルデル・バルバリョ
2%
カミロ・サンタナ
1%
タルシジオ・デ・フレイタス
1%
ルイス・イナシオ・ルーラ・ダ・シルヴァ
1%
テレザ・クリスチナ
1%
ジャイール・ボルソナーロ
1%
ジェラウド・アルキミン
1%
エドゥアルド・レイチ
1%
エドゥアルド・ボルソナロ
<1%
ハチーニョ・ジュニオール
<1%
アルド・レベロ
<1%
ロメウ・ゼマ 32%
レナン・サントス 31%
ロナウド・カイアード 19%
ミシェル・ボルソナロ 5.0%
$281,596 Vol.
$281,596 Vol.
2026/10/04
ロメウ・ゼマ
$10,655 Vol.
32%
レナン・サントス
$63,226 Vol.
31%
ロナウド・カイアード
$16,728 Vol.
19%
ミシェル・ボルソナロ
$4,817 Vol.
5%
フェルナンド・ハダジ
$14,354 Vol.
4%
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ
$7,036 Vol.
4%
エルデル・バルバリョ
$132 Vol.
2%
カミロ・サンタナ
$6,116 Vol.
1%
タルシジオ・デ・フレイタス
$4,328 Vol.
1%
ルイス・イナシオ・ルーラ・ダ・シルヴァ
$5,286 Vol.
1%
テレザ・クリスチナ
$654 Vol.
1%
ジャイール・ボルソナーロ
$4,092 Vol.
1%
ジェラウド・アルキミン
$4,260 Vol.
1%
エドゥアルド・レイチ
$2,559 Vol.
1%
エドゥアルド・ボルソナロ
$39,622 Vol.
<1%
ハチーニョ・ジュニオール
$93,195 Vol.
<1%
アルド・レベロ
$4,536 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).The close race for third place in Brazil’s October 2026 first-round presidential election reflects vote fragmentation across multiple right-leaning and centrist candidates behind frontrunners Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro. Recent resignations by governors Romeu Zema of Minas Gerais and Ronaldo Caiado of Goiás to launch their bids have positioned them as credible alternatives, while Renan Santos of the Mission Party has risen quickly on anti-establishment messaging and Free Brazil Movement ties. This crowded field keeps Zema and Santos nearly tied for the position, with traders pricing limited consolidation so far. Upcoming polling releases, potential endorsements from other state leaders, or withdrawals by lower-polling contenders could shift momentum and clarify the outcome.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
マーケット開始日： Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
音量
$281,596終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).The close race for third place in Brazil’s October 2026 first-round presidential election reflects vote fragmentation across multiple right-leaning and centrist candidates behind frontrunners Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro. Recent resignations by governors Romeu Zema of Minas Gerais and Ronaldo Caiado of Goiás to launch their bids have positioned them as credible alternatives, while Renan Santos of the Mission Party has risen quickly on anti-establishment messaging and Free Brazil Movement ties. This crowded field keeps Zema and Santos nearly tied for the position, with traders pricing limited consolidation so far. Upcoming polling releases, potential endorsements from other state leaders, or withdrawals by lower-polling contenders could shift momentum and clarify the outcome.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
音量
$281,596終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The close race for third place in Brazil’s October 2026 first-round presidential election reflects vote fragmentation across multiple right-leaning and centrist candidates behind frontrunners Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro. Recent resignations by governors Romeu Zema of Minas Gerais and Ronaldo Caiado of Goiás to launch their bids have positioned them as credible alternatives, while Renan Santos of the Mission Party has risen quickly on anti-establishment messaging and Free Brazil Movement ties. This crowded field keeps Zema and Santos nearly tied for the position, with traders pricing limited consolidation so far. Upcoming polling releases, potential endorsements from other state leaders, or withdrawals by lower-polling contenders could shift momentum and clarify the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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