Persistent inflation at 5.68% year-over-year in April 2026, well above the 3% target, and Banco de la República staff projections for a rise above 6% by year-end are sustaining the near-even split in market-implied odds for the June 30 policy decision. The unanimous April hold at the current 11.25% rate defied earlier expectations for further tightening, introducing caution as policymakers balance persistent core readings above 5.5% and robust domestic demand against moderating growth and fiscal stimulus. Recent comments from board members suggesting a possible slowdown in the pace of hikes, combined with the forthcoming May inflation release, remain the key swing factors that could tip trader consensus between a 25-to-50 basis point increase and another pause.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日No change 55%
Increase 50%
Decrease 1.5%
新規
新規
2026/06/30
Decrease
2%
No change
51%
Increase
51%
No change 55%
Increase 50%
Decrease 1.5%
新規
新規
2026/06/30
Decrease
$1,531 Vol.
2%
No change
$1,408 Vol.
51%
Increase
$1,078 Vol.
51%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its June 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Persistent inflation at 5.68% year-over-year in April 2026, well above the 3% target, and Banco de la República staff projections for a rise above 6% by year-end are sustaining the near-even split in market-implied odds for the June 30 policy decision. The unanimous April hold at the current 11.25% rate defied earlier expectations for further tightening, introducing caution as policymakers balance persistent core readings above 5.5% and robust domestic demand against moderating growth and fiscal stimulus. Recent comments from board members suggesting a possible slowdown in the pace of hikes, combined with the forthcoming May inflation release, remain the key swing factors that could tip trader consensus between a 25-to-50 basis point increase and another pause.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its June 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its June 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
マーケット開始日： Apr 2, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
音量
$4,017終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 3:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its June 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Persistent inflation at 5.68% year-over-year in April 2026, well above the 3% target, and Banco de la República staff projections for a rise above 6% by year-end are sustaining the near-even split in market-implied odds for the June 30 policy decision. The unanimous April hold at the current 11.25% rate defied earlier expectations for further tightening, introducing caution as policymakers balance persistent core readings above 5.5% and robust domestic demand against moderating growth and fiscal stimulus. Recent comments from board members suggesting a possible slowdown in the pace of hikes, combined with the forthcoming May inflation release, remain the key swing factors that could tip trader consensus between a 25-to-50 basis point increase and another pause.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its June 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its June 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
音量
$4,017終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 3:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent inflation at 5.68% year-over-year in April 2026, well above the 3% target, and Banco de la República staff projections for a rise above 6% by year-end are sustaining the near-even split in market-implied odds for the June 30 policy decision. The unanimous April hold at the current 11.25% rate defied earlier expectations for further tightening, introducing caution as policymakers balance persistent core readings above 5.5% and robust domestic demand against moderating growth and fiscal stimulus. Recent comments from board members suggesting a possible slowdown in the pace of hikes, combined with the forthcoming May inflation release, remain the key swing factors that could tip trader consensus between a 25-to-50 basis point increase and another pause.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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