The dominant trader consensus for a 14°C high temperature in Buenos Aires on May 17 reflects official forecasts from Argentina’s national meteorological service, which project a maximum under stable mid-autumn atmospheric conditions with limited warming from southerly flow. Global model runs show strong agreement on peak readings near this threshold, consistent with historical May climatology that rarely exceeds 16°C without significant warm advection. With the observation window nearing close, traders view deviation risks as low absent last-minute shifts in wind or cloud cover. Resolution hinges on the primary station’s verified maximum, so any revision in final data or localized urban heat effects could introduce minor uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月17日のブエノスアイレスの最高気温は?
14°C 99.6%
16°C <1%
15°C <1%
19°C or higher <1%
$36,254 Vol.
$36,254 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 99.6%
16°C <1%
15°C <1%
19°C or higher <1%
$36,254 Vol.
$36,254 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The dominant trader consensus for a 14°C high temperature in Buenos Aires on May 17 reflects official forecasts from Argentina’s national meteorological service, which project a maximum under stable mid-autumn atmospheric conditions with limited warming from southerly flow. Global model runs show strong agreement on peak readings near this threshold, consistent with historical May climatology that rarely exceeds 16°C without significant warm advection. With the observation window nearing close, traders view deviation risks as low absent last-minute shifts in wind or cloud cover. Resolution hinges on the primary station’s verified maximum, so any revision in final data or localized urban heat effects could introduce minor uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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