Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration project a daily maximum of 30°C in Busan today, driving the market's overwhelming consensus on that exact outcome. May climatology for the region typically features highs near 22–23°C under moderate spring conditions, yet an influx of warmer subtropical air combined with clear skies and light winds has supported the elevated reading in official model runs. Traders assign near-certainty to this threshold because resolution hinges on verified KMA station data at the close of the calendar day, with minimal scope for revision once observations are finalized. A sudden increase in cloud cover or localized precipitation could still trim the peak by 1–2°C, though recent model consensus shows little divergence on this point.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月17日の釜山の最高気温は?
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$49,385 Vol.
$49,385 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$49,385 Vol.
$49,385 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration project a daily maximum of 30°C in Busan today, driving the market's overwhelming consensus on that exact outcome. May climatology for the region typically features highs near 22–23°C under moderate spring conditions, yet an influx of warmer subtropical air combined with clear skies and light winds has supported the elevated reading in official model runs. Traders assign near-certainty to this threshold because resolution hinges on verified KMA station data at the close of the calendar day, with minimal scope for revision once observations are finalized. A sudden increase in cloud cover or localized precipitation could still trim the peak by 1–2°C, though recent model consensus shows little divergence on this point.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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