Numerical weather prediction ensembles from China’s Meteorological Administration have converged on a daily maximum of 31°C for Chengdu on May 17, anchoring the market’s near-certain consensus at that level. A strengthening subtropical ridge over the Sichuan Basin has delivered clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and minimal cloud cover, allowing greater daytime insolation and pushing temperatures above the late-May climatological average of 27–28°C. Lingering low-level moisture introduces only modest model spread, keeping the probability of 32°C or higher negligible. Traders are now watching the final afternoon observation window at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport for any last adjustments to steering flow or boundary-layer mixing before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月17日の成都の最高気温は?
31°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$66,396 Vol.
$66,396 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
31°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$66,396 Vol.
$66,396 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Numerical weather prediction ensembles from China’s Meteorological Administration have converged on a daily maximum of 31°C for Chengdu on May 17, anchoring the market’s near-certain consensus at that level. A strengthening subtropical ridge over the Sichuan Basin has delivered clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and minimal cloud cover, allowing greater daytime insolation and pushing temperatures above the late-May climatological average of 27–28°C. Lingering low-level moisture introduces only modest model spread, keeping the probability of 32°C or higher negligible. Traders are now watching the final afternoon observation window at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport for any last adjustments to steering flow or boundary-layer mixing before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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