Forecast models project maximum temperatures in Chengdu on May 18 clustering tightly between 30°C and 32°C, which explains the near-even split in trader consensus among these leading outcomes. Subtle differences arise from variations in predicted cloud cover, humidity, and local urban heat-island effects that can shift daily highs by 1–2°C, while broader atmospheric patterns tied to the East Asian monsoon introduce additional uncertainty. Historical mid-May averages near 29°C provide context, yet recent observational trends show modest warming potential under clearer conditions. Refreshed numerical weather predictions from global agencies over the next 24 hours will likely narrow these ranges and influence final positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月18日の成都の最高気温は?
30°C 26%
31°C 26%
32°C 22%
29°C 16%
$14,579 Vol.
$14,579 Vol.
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
11%
29°C
16%
30°C
26%
31°C
26%
32°C
22%
33°C
5%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 26%
31°C 26%
32°C 22%
29°C 16%
$14,579 Vol.
$14,579 Vol.
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
11%
29°C
16%
30°C
26%
31°C
26%
32°C
22%
33°C
5%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Forecast models project maximum temperatures in Chengdu on May 18 clustering tightly between 30°C and 32°C, which explains the near-even split in trader consensus among these leading outcomes. Subtle differences arise from variations in predicted cloud cover, humidity, and local urban heat-island effects that can shift daily highs by 1–2°C, while broader atmospheric patterns tied to the East Asian monsoon introduce additional uncertainty. Historical mid-May averages near 29°C provide context, yet recent observational trends show modest warming potential under clearer conditions. Refreshed numerical weather predictions from global agencies over the next 24 hours will likely narrow these ranges and influence final positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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