Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a daytime maximum near 34°C in urban areas under sunny intervals and isolated showers on August 13, following Tropical Cyclone Dolphin's recent passage and subsequent subsidence that moderated extremes relative to earlier 36.9°C readings. Midsummer climatology favors highs of 31–33°C, but urban heat-island effects, localized wind patterns, and model consensus on limited cloud cover support the near-even split between 33°C and 34°C market-implied odds. Afternoon convection or slight steering shifts could cap the peak below forecast thresholds, while clearer skies would push toward the upper end; probabilities for 35°C or higher stay minimal absent renewed clear-sky intensification.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月13日の香港の最高気温は?
33°C 99.4%
34°C <1%
36°C <1%
35°C <1%
$93,819 Vol.
$93,819 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
99%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 99.4%
34°C <1%
36°C <1%
35°C <1%
$93,819 Vol.
$93,819 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
99%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a daytime maximum near 34°C in urban areas under sunny intervals and isolated showers on August 13, following Tropical Cyclone Dolphin's recent passage and subsequent subsidence that moderated extremes relative to earlier 36.9°C readings. Midsummer climatology favors highs of 31–33°C, but urban heat-island effects, localized wind patterns, and model consensus on limited cloud cover support the near-even split between 33°C and 34°C market-implied odds. Afternoon convection or slight steering shifts could cap the peak below forecast thresholds, while clearer skies would push toward the upper end; probabilities for 35°C or higher stay minimal absent renewed clear-sky intensification.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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