**Current Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and real-time observations strongly support the market's near-certain consensus on a 33°C daily maximum.** With a very hot weather warning active, urban areas are expected to peak around 33–34°C under sunny periods and light southerly winds, consistent with regional station readings in the low-to-mid 30s and seasonal norms for mid-August. Model guidance shows limited potential for significant afternoon cooling from isolated showers, keeping the official HKO headquarters reading aligned with 33°C. The outcome could shift only if unforecast convection or a localized sea breeze rapidly suppresses temperatures below this threshold before evening measurements close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月13日の香港の最高気温は?
33°C 99.8%
34°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$107,273 Vol.
$107,273 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 99.8%
34°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$107,273 Vol.
$107,273 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and real-time observations strongly support the market's near-certain consensus on a 33°C daily maximum.** With a very hot weather warning active, urban areas are expected to peak around 33–34°C under sunny periods and light southerly winds, consistent with regional station readings in the low-to-mid 30s and seasonal norms for mid-August. Model guidance shows limited potential for significant afternoon cooling from isolated showers, keeping the official HKO headquarters reading aligned with 33°C. The outcome could shift only if unforecast convection or a localized sea breeze rapidly suppresses temperatures below this threshold before evening measurements close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問