Ongoing summer conditions across northern China, including a persistent heat wave with official warnings from the Shandong Meteorological Observatory, have driven market-implied odds to 100% for a daily maximum of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 10. Forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather and regional models consistently project afternoon highs of 29–37°C under typical subtropical high-pressure influence, well above the long-term August average of around 29–32°C. This aligns with historical climatology for the region, where extremes above 35°C occur frequently in mid-August. Only an unexpected rapid influx of cooler maritime air or significant model revision in the final hours could alter the outcome, though current observational data and ensemble consensus show no such signal.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月10日の済南最高気温は?
26°C以上 100.0%
16℃以下 <1%
17℃ <1%
18°C <1%
16℃以下
<1%
17℃
<1%
18°C
<1%
19℃
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22℃
<1%
23℃
<1%
24°C
<1%
25℃
<1%
26°C以上
100%
26°C以上 100.0%
16℃以下 <1%
17℃ <1%
18°C <1%
16℃以下
<1%
17℃
<1%
18°C
<1%
19℃
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22℃
<1%
23℃
<1%
24°C
<1%
25℃
<1%
26°C以上
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ongoing summer conditions across northern China, including a persistent heat wave with official warnings from the Shandong Meteorological Observatory, have driven market-implied odds to 100% for a daily maximum of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 10. Forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather and regional models consistently project afternoon highs of 29–37°C under typical subtropical high-pressure influence, well above the long-term August average of around 29–32°C. This aligns with historical climatology for the region, where extremes above 35°C occur frequently in mid-August. Only an unexpected rapid influx of cooler maritime air or significant model revision in the final hours could alter the outcome, though current observational data and ensemble consensus show no such signal.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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