Traders are pricing the highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 10 near 31–32°C, with 32°C or higher holding a modest edge in market-implied odds at 42.5% versus 33% for exactly 31°C. This reflects consensus from numerical weather models showing a typical late-summer subtropical high-pressure pattern over the North China Plain, where daytime heating under partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity supports maxima in that narrow range. Historical August climatology for Zhengzhou places average highs around 31–33°C, though steering flows and localized convective activity can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Low probabilities assigned to outcomes below 30°C align with current observations and forecast guidance indicating limited cooling from overnight lows near 23°C or increased cloud cover. Updated model runs and real-time station data will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月10日の鄭州の最高気温は?
32℃以上 96%
31°C 4%
22°C以下 <1%
23℃ <1%
22°C以下
<1%
23℃
<1%
24℃
<1%
25℃
<1%
26℃
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29℃
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
4%
32℃以上
96%
32℃以上 96%
31°C 4%
22°C以下 <1%
23℃ <1%
22°C以下
<1%
23℃
<1%
24℃
<1%
25℃
<1%
26℃
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29℃
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
4%
32℃以上
96%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Traders are pricing the highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 10 near 31–32°C, with 32°C or higher holding a modest edge in market-implied odds at 42.5% versus 33% for exactly 31°C. This reflects consensus from numerical weather models showing a typical late-summer subtropical high-pressure pattern over the North China Plain, where daytime heating under partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity supports maxima in that narrow range. Historical August climatology for Zhengzhou places average highs around 31–33°C, though steering flows and localized convective activity can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Low probabilities assigned to outcomes below 30°C align with current observations and forecast guidance indicating limited cooling from overnight lows near 23°C or increased cloud cover. Updated model runs and real-time station data will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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