Official observations from the London City Airport meteorological station, corroborated by Met Office data at nearby Heathrow and St James's Park sites, confirm a maximum temperature of 15°C on April 22, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Partly cloudy skies, light winds, and a cooler northerly airflow—following the early April heatwave that peaked above 26°C—suppressed temperatures in line with pre-event Met Office and BBC Weather model consensus forecasting highs of 15–17°C amid waning high pressure. While measurement protocols at screened thermometers ensure reliability, rare post hoc revisions from quality control could theoretically challenge this, though historical precedents show such adjustments are minimal for daily maxima.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in London on April 22?
15°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$310,111 Vol.
$310,111 Vol.
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$310,111 Vol.
$310,111 Vol.
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
Official observations from the London City Airport meteorological station, corroborated by Met Office data at nearby Heathrow and St James's Park sites, confirm a maximum temperature of 15°C on April 22, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Partly cloudy skies, light winds, and a cooler northerly airflow—following the early April heatwave that peaked above 26°C—suppressed temperatures in line with pre-event Met Office and BBC Weather model consensus forecasting highs of 15–17°C amid waning high pressure. While measurement protocols at screened thermometers ensure reliability, rare post hoc revisions from quality control could theoretically challenge this, though historical precedents show such adjustments are minimal for daily maxima.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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