Recent Met Office and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts ensemble runs place London’s May 19 daytime maximum in a tight cluster between 16 °C and 18 °C, explaining the near-even market split at 34 % each for the two leading outcomes. A mild south-westerly flow is expected to advect Atlantic air masses while variable cloud cover and light winds limit surface heating, keeping temperatures close to the mid-May climatological average of roughly 16–17 °C. Model spread arises mainly from uncertainty in the timing and extent of any sunny breaks versus increased low-level cloud, which could shift the official maximum recorded at London City Airport by one degree either side of 17 °C. With resolution just 48 hours away, traders are watching the next 12-hourly forecast updates for any tightening of guidance on solar insolation and boundary-layer mixing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月19日のロンドンの最高気温は？
5月19日のロンドンの最高気温は？
17°C 35%
18°C 34%
16°C 19%
19°C 11%
新規
新規
2026/05/19
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
5%
16°C
19%
17°C
35%
18°C
34%
19°C
11%
20°C
6%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 35%
18°C 34%
16°C 19%
19°C 11%
新規
新規
2026/05/19
12°C or below
$67 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$122 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$94 Vol.
2%
15°C
$107 Vol.
5%
16°C
$225 Vol.
19%
17°C
$251 Vol.
35%
18°C
$220 Vol.
34%
19°C
$152 Vol.
11%
20°C
$133 Vol.
6%
21°C
$127 Vol.
1%
22°C or higher
$47 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Met Office and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts ensemble runs place London’s May 19 daytime maximum in a tight cluster between 16 °C and 18 °C, explaining the near-even market split at 34 % each for the two leading outcomes. A mild south-westerly flow is expected to advect Atlantic air masses while variable cloud cover and light winds limit surface heating, keeping temperatures close to the mid-May climatological average of roughly 16–17 °C. Model spread arises mainly from uncertainty in the timing and extent of any sunny breaks versus increased low-level cloud, which could shift the official maximum recorded at London City Airport by one degree either side of 17 °C. With resolution just 48 hours away, traders are watching the next 12-hourly forecast updates for any tightening of guidance on solar insolation and boundary-layer mixing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
音量
$1,414終了日
2026/05/19マーケット開始日
May 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Met Office and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts ensemble runs place London’s May 19 daytime maximum in a tight cluster between 16 °C and 18 °C, explaining the near-even market split at 34 % each for the two leading outcomes. A mild south-westerly flow is expected to advect Atlantic air masses while variable cloud cover and light winds limit surface heating, keeping temperatures close to the mid-May climatological average of roughly 16–17 °C. Model spread arises mainly from uncertainty in the timing and extent of any sunny breaks versus increased low-level cloud, which could shift the official maximum recorded at London City Airport by one degree either side of 17 °C. With resolution just 48 hours away, traders are watching the next 12-hourly forecast updates for any tightening of guidance on solar insolation and boundary-layer mixing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$1,414終了日
2026/05/19マーケット開始日
May 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent Met Office and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts ensemble runs place London’s May 19 daytime maximum in a tight cluster between 16 °C and 18 °C, explaining the near-even market split at 34 % each for the two leading outcomes. A mild south-westerly flow is expected to advect Atlantic air masses while variable cloud cover and light winds limit surface heating, keeping temperatures close to the mid-May climatological average of roughly 16–17 °C. Model spread arises mainly from uncertainty in the timing and extent of any sunny breaks versus increased low-level cloud, which could shift the official maximum recorded at London City Airport by one degree either side of 17 °C. With resolution just 48 hours away, traders are watching the next 12-hourly forecast updates for any tightening of guidance on solar insolation and boundary-layer mixing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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