Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on an 18°C daily maximum for London today under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, underpinning the market's near-certain pricing for that outcome. Official guidance highlights stable atmospheric conditions with limited cloud cover allowing sufficient daytime heating, consistent with typical mid-May climatology for southeast England. Minor model spreads remain possible, but current observations show no signs of significant deviation. A sudden increase in cloudiness or an unexpected warm advection could push readings to 19°C or higher, while stronger winds or more extensive cloud might cap the peak at 17°C. Final resolution will depend on verified station data at the close of the day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月17日のロンドンの最高気温は?
18°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$171,540 Vol.
$171,540 Vol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
18°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$171,540 Vol.
$171,540 Vol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on an 18°C daily maximum for London today under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, underpinning the market's near-certain pricing for that outcome. Official guidance highlights stable atmospheric conditions with limited cloud cover allowing sufficient daytime heating, consistent with typical mid-May climatology for southeast England. Minor model spreads remain possible, but current observations show no signs of significant deviation. A sudden increase in cloudiness or an unexpected warm advection could push readings to 19°C or higher, while stronger winds or more extensive cloud might cap the peak at 17°C. Final resolution will depend on verified station data at the close of the day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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