PAGASA observations from its Science Garden station in Quezon City, Metro Manila—the official benchmark for such records—confirm a maximum temperature of 36.1°C at 2:00 PM today amid partly cloudy skies and isolated thunderstorms, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on 36°C as the day's high. This aligns with extended forecasts projecting 34–36°C highs during May's dry season peak, when solar heating maximizes mid-afternoon before evening cooling and potential rainshowers suppress further rises. Historical May averages hover around 33–35°C, with current localized thunderstorms limiting convective heating. A realistic challenge would require an improbable late-afternoon surge past 37°C before sunset, unlikely per model consensus; final daily extremes report expected soon.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Manila on May 15?
36°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$28,965 Vol.
$28,965 Vol.
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$28,965 Vol.
$28,965 Vol.
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 13, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
PAGASA observations from its Science Garden station in Quezon City, Metro Manila—the official benchmark for such records—confirm a maximum temperature of 36.1°C at 2:00 PM today amid partly cloudy skies and isolated thunderstorms, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on 36°C as the day's high. This aligns with extended forecasts projecting 34–36°C highs during May's dry season peak, when solar heating maximizes mid-afternoon before evening cooling and potential rainshowers suppress further rises. Historical May averages hover around 33–35°C, with current localized thunderstorms limiting convective heating. A realistic challenge would require an improbable late-afternoon surge past 37°C before sunset, unlikely per model consensus; final daily extremes report expected soon.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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