Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 90-91°F (44%) as Miami's highest temperature on May 14, driven by National Weather Service forecasts and model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks around 89-92°F amid a persistent upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and above-normal heat. Recent observations at Miami International Airport show lows in the upper 70s to low 80s with highs reaching low 90s over the past few days—nearly 5°F above the 86°F climatological normal—fueled by waning rain chances from a departing front, allowing greater daytime heating. Reduced thunderstorm coverage (now 30-40%) limits convective cooling, though sea breeze progression and isolated pop-ups introduce uncertainty that could cap or boost peaks. Updated model runs expected this evening may refine these market-implied odds before resolution based on official airport observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Miami on May 14?
Highest temperature in Miami on May 14?
90-91°F 45%
92-93°F 29%
88-89°F 20%
94-95°F 4.5%
新規
$26,553 Vol.
新規
$26,553 Vol.
2026/05/14
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
20%
90-91°F
45%
92-93°F
29%
94-95°F
5%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 45%
92-93°F 29%
88-89°F 20%
94-95°F 4.5%
新規
$26,553 Vol.
新規
$26,553 Vol.
2026/05/14
83°F or below
$1,150 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$706 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$2,095 Vol.
2%
88-89°F
$3,508 Vol.
20%
90-91°F
$1,533 Vol.
45%
92-93°F
$2,842 Vol.
29%
94-95°F
$4,751 Vol.
5%
96-97°F
$1,057 Vol.
1%
98-99°F
$422 Vol.
1%
100-101°F
$962 Vol.
<1%
102°F or higher
$7,565 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 90-91°F (44%) as Miami's highest temperature on May 14, driven by National Weather Service forecasts and model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks around 89-92°F amid a persistent upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and above-normal heat. Recent observations at Miami International Airport show lows in the upper 70s to low 80s with highs reaching low 90s over the past few days—nearly 5°F above the 86°F climatological normal—fueled by waning rain chances from a departing front, allowing greater daytime heating. Reduced thunderstorm coverage (now 30-40%) limits convective cooling, though sea breeze progression and isolated pop-ups introduce uncertainty that could cap or boost peaks. Updated model runs expected this evening may refine these market-implied odds before resolution based on official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 12, 2026, 12:54 AM ET
音量
$26,553終了日
2026/05/14マーケット開始日
May 12, 2026, 12:54 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 90-91°F (44%) as Miami's highest temperature on May 14, driven by National Weather Service forecasts and model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks around 89-92°F amid a persistent upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and above-normal heat. Recent observations at Miami International Airport show lows in the upper 70s to low 80s with highs reaching low 90s over the past few days—nearly 5°F above the 86°F climatological normal—fueled by waning rain chances from a departing front, allowing greater daytime heating. Reduced thunderstorm coverage (now 30-40%) limits convective cooling, though sea breeze progression and isolated pop-ups introduce uncertainty that could cap or boost peaks. Updated model runs expected this evening may refine these market-implied odds before resolution based on official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$26,553終了日
2026/05/14マーケット開始日
May 12, 2026, 12:54 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket favors 90-91°F (44%) as Miami's highest temperature on May 14, driven by National Weather Service forecasts and model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks around 89-92°F amid a persistent upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and above-normal heat. Recent observations at Miami International Airport show lows in the upper 70s to low 80s with highs reaching low 90s over the past few days—nearly 5°F above the 86°F climatological normal—fueled by waning rain chances from a departing front, allowing greater daytime heating. Reduced thunderstorm coverage (now 30-40%) limits convective cooling, though sea breeze progression and isolated pop-ups introduce uncertainty that could cap or boost peaks. Updated model runs expected this evening may refine these market-implied odds before resolution based on official airport observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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