Recent forecast consensus from meteorological sources positions Moscow's maximum temperature on August 13 near 16°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and scattered sprinkles that limit daytime heating. Current observations show morning readings around 12–13°C with highs projected between 15–17°C, well below the typical August climatological average of 22–24°C. Model agreement on modest instability and minimal solar insolation has concentrated trader sentiment on the 15–17°C range, while lower probabilities for extremes reflect the low likelihood of rapid clearing or stronger advection under present synoptic conditions. Updated station data and short-term model runs through the afternoon will refine the final peak before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月13日のモスクワの最高気温は?
16°C 54%
15°C 27%
17°C 14%
14℃ 7%
$21,556 Vol.
$21,556 Vol.
12°C以下
<1%
13℃
3%
14℃
7%
15°C
27%
16°C
54%
17°C
14%
18℃
2%
19°C
1%
20℃
<1%
21℃
<1%
22°C以上
<1%
16°C 54%
15°C 27%
17°C 14%
14℃ 7%
$21,556 Vol.
$21,556 Vol.
12°C以下
<1%
13℃
3%
14℃
7%
15°C
27%
16°C
54%
17°C
14%
18℃
2%
19°C
1%
20℃
<1%
21℃
<1%
22°C以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from meteorological sources positions Moscow's maximum temperature on August 13 near 16°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and scattered sprinkles that limit daytime heating. Current observations show morning readings around 12–13°C with highs projected between 15–17°C, well below the typical August climatological average of 22–24°C. Model agreement on modest instability and minimal solar insolation has concentrated trader sentiment on the 15–17°C range, while lower probabilities for extremes reflect the low likelihood of rapid clearing or stronger advection under present synoptic conditions. Updated station data and short-term model runs through the afternoon will refine the final peak before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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