Current forecast models from the Deutscher Wetterdienst and ECMWF ensembles converge on a daily maximum near 16°C for Munich today, driven by moderate high pressure, light northerly flow, and partial cloud cover that caps daytime heating. These atmospheric conditions align with the market’s leading 16°C outcome at 52.5% implied probability, while the 15°C and 17°C brackets at 25.5% and 21.0% reflect remaining ensemble spread and typical model uncertainty in springtime boundary-layer mixing. Historical mid-May climatology for the region places average highs around 17–18°C, providing context for why traders view 16°C as the most probable single value ahead of official resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月17日のミュンヘンの最高気温は?
16°C 50%
15°C 25%
17°C 22%
18°C 1.5%
$25,430 Vol.
$25,430 Vol.
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
25%
16°C
50%
17°C
22%
18°C
2%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 50%
15°C 25%
17°C 22%
18°C 1.5%
$25,430 Vol.
$25,430 Vol.
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
25%
16°C
50%
17°C
22%
18°C
2%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Current forecast models from the Deutscher Wetterdienst and ECMWF ensembles converge on a daily maximum near 16°C for Munich today, driven by moderate high pressure, light northerly flow, and partial cloud cover that caps daytime heating. These atmospheric conditions align with the market’s leading 16°C outcome at 52.5% implied probability, while the 15°C and 17°C brackets at 25.5% and 21.0% reflect remaining ensemble spread and typical model uncertainty in springtime boundary-layer mixing. Historical mid-May climatology for the region places average highs around 17–18°C, providing context for why traders view 16°C as the most probable single value ahead of official resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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