Latest National Weather Service model ensembles converge on a peak temperature of 85–88°F at LaGuardia Airport, the official observation site for this market, with minor spreads among the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM solutions driven by differences in afternoon boundary-layer mixing depth and the precise timing of maximum solar heating. These subtle variations in vertical mixing and wind patterns keep the 86–87°F and 88–89°F outcomes nearly tied in trader sentiment. Historical May climatology places average highs near 76°F, so today’s above-normal readings reflect a brief warm advection episode that models show will peak before sunset. Resolution hinges on the single highest hourly reading reported by 11:59 p.m. ET, leaving traders focused on any late-day forecast adjustments from updated model runs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月17日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は？
5月17日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は？
86～87°F 34%
88〜89°F 29%
84～85°F 19%
90～91°F 12.9%
$41,956 Vol.
$41,956 Vol.
2026/05/17
華氏79度以下
<1%
80〜81°F
<1%
82～83°F
4%
84～85°F
19%
86～87°F
34%
88〜89°F
29%
90～91°F
13%
92～93°F
2%
94～95°F
<1%
96～97°F
<1%
98°F以上
<1%
86～87°F 34%
88〜89°F 29%
84～85°F 19%
90～91°F 12.9%
$41,956 Vol.
$41,956 Vol.
2026/05/17
華氏79度以下
$9,159 Vol.
<1%
80〜81°F
$6,013 Vol.
<1%
82～83°F
$3,774 Vol.
4%
84～85°F
$4,153 Vol.
19%
86～87°F
$4,642 Vol.
34%
88〜89°F
$2,181 Vol.
29%
90～91°F
$2,532 Vol.
13%
92～93°F
$1,727 Vol.
2%
94～95°F
$3,055 Vol.
<1%
96～97°F
$2,634 Vol.
<1%
98°F以上
$2,134 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service model ensembles converge on a peak temperature of 85–88°F at LaGuardia Airport, the official observation site for this market, with minor spreads among the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM solutions driven by differences in afternoon boundary-layer mixing depth and the precise timing of maximum solar heating. These subtle variations in vertical mixing and wind patterns keep the 86–87°F and 88–89°F outcomes nearly tied in trader sentiment. Historical May climatology places average highs near 76°F, so today’s above-normal readings reflect a brief warm advection episode that models show will peak before sunset. Resolution hinges on the single highest hourly reading reported by 11:59 p.m. ET, leaving traders focused on any late-day forecast adjustments from updated model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
音量
$41,956終了日
2026/05/17マーケット開始日
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service model ensembles converge on a peak temperature of 85–88°F at LaGuardia Airport, the official observation site for this market, with minor spreads among the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM solutions driven by differences in afternoon boundary-layer mixing depth and the precise timing of maximum solar heating. These subtle variations in vertical mixing and wind patterns keep the 86–87°F and 88–89°F outcomes nearly tied in trader sentiment. Historical May climatology places average highs near 76°F, so today’s above-normal readings reflect a brief warm advection episode that models show will peak before sunset. Resolution hinges on the single highest hourly reading reported by 11:59 p.m. ET, leaving traders focused on any late-day forecast adjustments from updated model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$41,956終了日
2026/05/17マーケット開始日
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETLatest National Weather Service model ensembles converge on a peak temperature of 85–88°F at LaGuardia Airport, the official observation site for this market, with minor spreads among the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM solutions driven by differences in afternoon boundary-layer mixing depth and the precise timing of maximum solar heating. These subtle variations in vertical mixing and wind patterns keep the 86–87°F and 88–89°F outcomes nearly tied in trader sentiment. Historical May climatology places average highs near 76°F, so today’s above-normal readings reflect a brief warm advection episode that models show will peak before sunset. Resolution hinges on the single highest hourly reading reported by 11:59 p.m. ET, leaving traders focused on any late-day forecast adjustments from updated model runs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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