Recent National Weather Service forecast guidance, backed by ensemble models, points to a Seattle high near 62°F on May 17, driven by steady onshore flow from the cool Pacific that curbs daytime warming in the city’s maritime climate. Mid-May climatology typically yields highs in the upper 50s to low 60s at Sea-Tac International Airport, with limited solar heating under marine air masses. Current trader consensus, reflected in the 45% implied probability for 64°F or higher and 35% for 62–63°F, aligns with this range while acknowledging modest model spread on afternoon cloud cover and wind direction. Final resolution hinges on the official observed maximum at the airport station later today.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月17日のシアトルの最高気温は?
華氏64度以上 45%
62~63°F 36%
60〜61°F 19%
58〜59°F 4.5%
$17,395 Vol.
$17,395 Vol.
45°F以下
<1%
46〜47°F
<1%
48〜49°F
<1%
50~51°F
<1%
52~53°F
<1%
54~55°F
<1%
56~57°F
1%
58〜59°F
5%
60〜61°F
19%
62~63°F
36%
華氏64度以上
45%
華氏64度以上 45%
62~63°F 36%
60〜61°F 19%
58〜59°F 4.5%
$17,395 Vol.
$17,395 Vol.
45°F以下
<1%
46〜47°F
<1%
48〜49°F
<1%
50~51°F
<1%
52~53°F
<1%
54~55°F
<1%
56~57°F
1%
58〜59°F
5%
60〜61°F
19%
62~63°F
36%
華氏64度以上
45%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent National Weather Service forecast guidance, backed by ensemble models, points to a Seattle high near 62°F on May 17, driven by steady onshore flow from the cool Pacific that curbs daytime warming in the city’s maritime climate. Mid-May climatology typically yields highs in the upper 50s to low 60s at Sea-Tac International Airport, with limited solar heating under marine air masses. Current trader consensus, reflected in the 45% implied probability for 64°F or higher and 35% for 62–63°F, aligns with this range while acknowledging modest model spread on afternoon cloud cover and wind direction. Final resolution hinges on the official observed maximum at the airport station later today.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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