Recent forecasts and observational data from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai will reach a daily maximum of 29°C on August 16, 2026, driving the market-implied odds to near-certainty for that outcome. Mid-summer conditions in the Yangtze River Delta feature high humidity and limited daytime heating under prevailing southerly flows, consistent with historical August baselines around 30–32°C but tempered by current cloud cover and moisture. This consensus reflects aggregated trader assessment of model runs showing minimal upward deviation risk. Scenarios that could realistically shift resolution include a late-day clearing trend boosting surface temperatures or revised official station readings exceeding the threshold, though such changes appear unlikely given the proximity to market close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月16日の上海の最高気温は?
29°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$149,322 Vol.
$149,322 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$149,322 Vol.
$149,322 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts and observational data from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai will reach a daily maximum of 29°C on August 16, 2026, driving the market-implied odds to near-certainty for that outcome. Mid-summer conditions in the Yangtze River Delta feature high humidity and limited daytime heating under prevailing southerly flows, consistent with historical August baselines around 30–32°C but tempered by current cloud cover and moisture. This consensus reflects aggregated trader assessment of model runs showing minimal upward deviation risk. Scenarios that could realistically shift resolution include a late-day clearing trend boosting surface temperatures or revised official station readings exceeding the threshold, though such changes appear unlikely given the proximity to market close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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