Recent forecast guidance from regional models and global ensembles indicates a highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 18 most likely between 27°C and 29°C, driven by the city’s subtropical monsoon climate during the pre-monsoon transition period. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderating maritime airflow from the South China Sea are limiting daytime heating and creating tight differentiation among these outcomes, with even minor shifts in precipitation timing or insolation potentially determining whether the daily maximum reaches 28°C or 29°C rather than 27°C. Historical May averages near 29–30°C provide context, yet current conditions favor a slightly cooler profile, and updated model runs or official observations from Shenzhen Bao’an International Airport will clarify the exact threshold before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月18日の深センの最高気温は?
29°C 30%
27°C 28%
28°C 27%
30°C 14%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
28%
28°C
27%
29°C
30%
30°C
14%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
29°C 30%
27°C 28%
28°C 27%
30°C 14%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
28%
28°C
27%
29°C
30%
30°C
14%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent forecast guidance from regional models and global ensembles indicates a highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 18 most likely between 27°C and 29°C, driven by the city’s subtropical monsoon climate during the pre-monsoon transition period. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderating maritime airflow from the South China Sea are limiting daytime heating and creating tight differentiation among these outcomes, with even minor shifts in precipitation timing or insolation potentially determining whether the daily maximum reaches 28°C or 29°C rather than 27°C. Historical May averages near 29–30°C provide context, yet current conditions favor a slightly cooler profile, and updated model runs or official observations from Shenzhen Bao’an International Airport will clarify the exact threshold before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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