Trader consensus has firmly settled on 24°C as the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 16, driven by official observations from Israeli meteorological networks confirming a daytime peak that matched seasonal Mediterranean norms without significant heat advection. Stable high-pressure systems and light winds limited diurnal warming, while global forecast models showed consistent agreement on minimal urban heat island effects or anomalous warming. With resolution now based on verified daily maximum data, outcomes of 25°C or higher would have required unexpected local factors such as unpredicted cloud cover changes or measurement revisions, none of which materialized in the final reports.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 16?
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$38,704 Vol.
$38,704 Vol.
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$38,704 Vol.
$38,704 Vol.
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 14, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Trader consensus has firmly settled on 24°C as the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 16, driven by official observations from Israeli meteorological networks confirming a daytime peak that matched seasonal Mediterranean norms without significant heat advection. Stable high-pressure systems and light winds limited diurnal warming, while global forecast models showed consistent agreement on minimal urban heat island effects or anomalous warming. With resolution now based on verified daily maximum data, outcomes of 25°C or higher would have required unexpected local factors such as unpredicted cloud cover changes or measurement revisions, none of which materialized in the final reports.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問