Current atmospheric conditions, including a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean, are driving rapid surface heating across Tel Aviv on May 17, with official Israel Meteorological Service and global ensemble models projecting afternoon maxima well above the 26–28 °C climatological baseline. Clear skies and limited sea-breeze moderation through peak insolation hours support the market-implied near-certainty of 35 °C or higher, consistent with observed warming trends following cooler readings earlier in the week. Real-time observations from Ben Gurion International Airport and final model runs will confirm the exact peak before resolution. An unexpected strengthening of onshore flow or earlier cloud cover could temper the outcome, though current guidance indicates low likelihood of such shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月17日のテルアビブの最高気温は?
35°C or higher 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$74,561 Vol.
$74,561 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
100%
35°C or higher 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$74,561 Vol.
$74,561 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Current atmospheric conditions, including a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean, are driving rapid surface heating across Tel Aviv on May 17, with official Israel Meteorological Service and global ensemble models projecting afternoon maxima well above the 26–28 °C climatological baseline. Clear skies and limited sea-breeze moderation through peak insolation hours support the market-implied near-certainty of 35 °C or higher, consistent with observed warming trends following cooler readings earlier in the week. Real-time observations from Ben Gurion International Airport and final model runs will confirm the exact peak before resolution. An unexpected strengthening of onshore flow or earlier cloud cover could temper the outcome, though current guidance indicates low likelihood of such shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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