Recent forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models positions a peak near 33–34°C as the most likely outcome for Tel Aviv on September 17, driven by clear skies, strong September insolation, and light northwest winds under a stable high-pressure ridge that limits cloud formation and marine cooling. Official Israeli Meteorological Service guidance and ensemble runs show daytime maxima climbing steadily through the morning with minimal humidity recovery, consistent with late-summer climatology when land-sea temperature contrasts amplify surface heating. Trader emphasis on 34°C reflects this tight model agreement and the narrow historical range for similar synoptic setups, while lower probabilities for 35°C or above account for potential slight under-forecasting if winds remain lighter than expected; updated observations through midday will refine the final daily maximum before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月17日のテルアビブの最高気温は?
34°C 75%
35℃ 14%
33℃ 11%
36℃ 2%
$24,462 Vol.
$24,462 Vol.
30℃以下
1%
31℃
<1%
32℃
<1%
33℃
11%
34°C
75%
35℃
14%
36℃
2%
37°C
<1%
38℃
1%
39°C
<1%
40℃以上
<1%
34°C 75%
35℃ 14%
33℃ 11%
36℃ 2%
$24,462 Vol.
$24,462 Vol.
30℃以下
1%
31℃
<1%
32℃
<1%
33℃
11%
34°C
75%
35℃
14%
36℃
2%
37°C
<1%
38℃
1%
39°C
<1%
40℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models positions a peak near 33–34°C as the most likely outcome for Tel Aviv on September 17, driven by clear skies, strong September insolation, and light northwest winds under a stable high-pressure ridge that limits cloud formation and marine cooling. Official Israeli Meteorological Service guidance and ensemble runs show daytime maxima climbing steadily through the morning with minimal humidity recovery, consistent with late-summer climatology when land-sea temperature contrasts amplify surface heating. Trader emphasis on 34°C reflects this tight model agreement and the narrow historical range for similar synoptic setups, while lower probabilities for 35°C or above account for potential slight under-forecasting if winds remain lighter than expected; updated observations through midday will refine the final daily maximum before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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