Recent forecast models from Environment Canada and the National Weather Service show a warming trend across the Toronto region, driven by southwesterly flow and mostly sunny skies that are expected to push the official high at Pearson International Airport into the mid-to-upper 20s °C. This atmospheric setup has shifted trader consensus toward the 27 °C or higher and 26 °C outcomes, which together capture over 80% of the market-implied probability. Ensemble guidance indicates modest uncertainty from variable cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, keeping probabilities for 25 °C and below clustered but lower. Official resolution will depend on the verified daily maximum, with any late-day model adjustments potentially influencing final positioning before close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月17日のトロントの最高気温は?
27℃以上 52.0%
26°C 33.8%
25°C 13%
24°C 7%
$40,390 Vol.
$40,390 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
7%
25°C
13%
26°C
34%
27℃以上
52%
27℃以上 52.0%
26°C 33.8%
25°C 13%
24°C 7%
$40,390 Vol.
$40,390 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
7%
25°C
13%
26°C
34%
27℃以上
52%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent forecast models from Environment Canada and the National Weather Service show a warming trend across the Toronto region, driven by southwesterly flow and mostly sunny skies that are expected to push the official high at Pearson International Airport into the mid-to-upper 20s °C. This atmospheric setup has shifted trader consensus toward the 27 °C or higher and 26 °C outcomes, which together capture over 80% of the market-implied probability. Ensemble guidance indicates modest uncertainty from variable cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, keeping probabilities for 25 °C and below clustered but lower. Official resolution will depend on the verified daily maximum, with any late-day model adjustments potentially influencing final positioning before close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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