Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a 27°C high in Wuhan at Tianhe International Airport on May 14 (34% implied probability), edging out 28°C (25%) and 26°C (20%), driven by divergent short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), GFS, and ECMWF models amid persistent cloud cover and high humidity capping daytime heating. Recent observations show volatility—May 11 peaked near 31°C under clearer skies, but May 12-13 brought overcast conditions and dewpoints near 20°C, suppressing peaks to 26-27°C range consistent with mid-May climatology (average highs 26-28°C). Key differentiators include afternoon cloud breaks allowing insolation for 28°C+ versus sustained stratus for 26°C; new CMA updates and ensemble runs expected overnight could sharpen odds before resolution tomorrow.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 14?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 14?
27°C 31%
28°C 27%
26°C 20.1%
29°C 16%
新規
$17,862 Vol.
新規
$17,862 Vol.
2026/05/14
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
12%
26°C
20%
27°C
31%
28°C
27%
29°C
16%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 31%
28°C 27%
26°C 20.1%
29°C 16%
新規
$17,862 Vol.
新規
$17,862 Vol.
2026/05/14
23°C or below
$2,053 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,524 Vol.
1%
25°C
$1,024 Vol.
12%
26°C
$438 Vol.
20%
27°C
$656 Vol.
31%
28°C
$1,508 Vol.
27%
29°C
$2,820 Vol.
16%
30°C
$2,165 Vol.
2%
31°C
$2,452 Vol.
1%
32°C
$1,593 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$1,665 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a 27°C high in Wuhan at Tianhe International Airport on May 14 (34% implied probability), edging out 28°C (25%) and 26°C (20%), driven by divergent short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), GFS, and ECMWF models amid persistent cloud cover and high humidity capping daytime heating. Recent observations show volatility—May 11 peaked near 31°C under clearer skies, but May 12-13 brought overcast conditions and dewpoints near 20°C, suppressing peaks to 26-27°C range consistent with mid-May climatology (average highs 26-28°C). Key differentiators include afternoon cloud breaks allowing insolation for 28°C+ versus sustained stratus for 26°C; new CMA updates and ensemble runs expected overnight could sharpen odds before resolution tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
音量
$17,862終了日
2026/05/14マーケット開始日
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a 27°C high in Wuhan at Tianhe International Airport on May 14 (34% implied probability), edging out 28°C (25%) and 26°C (20%), driven by divergent short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), GFS, and ECMWF models amid persistent cloud cover and high humidity capping daytime heating. Recent observations show volatility—May 11 peaked near 31°C under clearer skies, but May 12-13 brought overcast conditions and dewpoints near 20°C, suppressing peaks to 26-27°C range consistent with mid-May climatology (average highs 26-28°C). Key differentiators include afternoon cloud breaks allowing insolation for 28°C+ versus sustained stratus for 26°C; new CMA updates and ensemble runs expected overnight could sharpen odds before resolution tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$17,862終了日
2026/05/14マーケット開始日
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket favors a 27°C high in Wuhan at Tianhe International Airport on May 14 (34% implied probability), edging out 28°C (25%) and 26°C (20%), driven by divergent short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), GFS, and ECMWF models amid persistent cloud cover and high humidity capping daytime heating. Recent observations show volatility—May 11 peaked near 31°C under clearer skies, but May 12-13 brought overcast conditions and dewpoints near 20°C, suppressing peaks to 26-27°C range consistent with mid-May climatology (average highs 26-28°C). Key differentiators include afternoon cloud breaks allowing insolation for 28°C+ versus sustained stratus for 26°C; new CMA updates and ensemble runs expected overnight could sharpen odds before resolution tomorrow.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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