Recent observational data and forecast verification from meteorological agencies have aligned closely with a daily high of 28°C in Wuhan on May 17, driving the market-implied odds to full consensus on this outcome. Late-spring conditions in the region typically feature highs between 25°C and 29°C, supported by climatological baselines and current atmospheric stability that limits significant warming or cooling. Model runs show minimal divergence in steering patterns or moisture levels today, reinforcing trader confidence in this specific threshold. A sudden shift from an unforecasted frontal passage or post-event data revision could still alter the recorded maximum, though such changes remain improbable given the advanced stage of daily monitoring.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月17日の武漢の最高気温は?
28°C 100.0%
29°C <1%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
$53,936 Vol.
$53,936 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 100.0%
29°C <1%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
$53,936 Vol.
$53,936 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent observational data and forecast verification from meteorological agencies have aligned closely with a daily high of 28°C in Wuhan on May 17, driving the market-implied odds to full consensus on this outcome. Late-spring conditions in the region typically feature highs between 25°C and 29°C, supported by climatological baselines and current atmospheric stability that limits significant warming or cooling. Model runs show minimal divergence in steering patterns or moisture levels today, reinforcing trader confidence in this specific threshold. A sudden shift from an unforecasted frontal passage or post-event data revision could still alter the recorded maximum, though such changes remain improbable given the advanced stage of daily monitoring.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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