Recent numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles converge on a daily maximum of 28°C for Wuhan on May 17, driven by light southerly flow beneath a modest subtropical ridge that supports moderate daytime warming alongside partial cloud cover. This tight model agreement, consistent with mid-May climatological baselines for the region, underpins the market’s near-certain positioning for the 28°C outcome. Limited upside risk remains if unexpected clearing enhances solar insolation and pushes readings to 29–30°C, while any increase in cloudiness or frontal passage could cap the high below the target; the next official forecast update from the National Meteorological Center will provide the clearest near-term signal for traders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月17日の武漢の最高気温は?
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$55,861 Vol.
$55,861 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$55,861 Vol.
$55,861 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles converge on a daily maximum of 28°C for Wuhan on May 17, driven by light southerly flow beneath a modest subtropical ridge that supports moderate daytime warming alongside partial cloud cover. This tight model agreement, consistent with mid-May climatological baselines for the region, underpins the market’s near-certain positioning for the 28°C outcome. Limited upside risk remains if unexpected clearing enhances solar insolation and pushes readings to 29–30°C, while any increase in cloudiness or frontal passage could cap the high below the target; the next official forecast update from the National Meteorological Center will provide the clearest near-term signal for traders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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