South Korea’s June 3 local elections for 17 metropolitan mayoral and gubernatorial seats occur amid Democratic Party dominance of the presidency and National Assembly, bolstered by President Lee Jae-myung’s approval ratings near 64 percent. Recent candidate registration and finalized lineups have intensified focus on swing contests in Seoul, Busan, and Jeonbuk, where DP nominees face entrenched People Power Party incumbents or regional strongholds. Lingering effects of the 2024 martial-law episode continue to weigh on conservative prospects, yet local factors and voter turnout in competitive provinces keep outcomes fluid. This mix of national momentum and targeted uncertainties sustains trader consensus around 11–14 DP victories, with separation likely hinging on final polling shifts or turnout in the remaining battlegrounds before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日13 30%
12 26%
11 20.0%
14 16%
≤10
10%
11
20%
12
26%
13
30%
14
16%
15
6%
≥16
1%
13 30%
12 26%
11 20.0%
14 16%
≤10
10%
11
20%
12
26%
13
30%
14
16%
15
6%
≥16
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Governor elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments won by the Democratic Party (DP) during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
If the results of the 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
マーケット開始日: May 13, 2026, 6:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Governor elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments won by the Democratic Party (DP) during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
If the results of the 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...South Korea’s June 3 local elections for 17 metropolitan mayoral and gubernatorial seats occur amid Democratic Party dominance of the presidency and National Assembly, bolstered by President Lee Jae-myung’s approval ratings near 64 percent. Recent candidate registration and finalized lineups have intensified focus on swing contests in Seoul, Busan, and Jeonbuk, where DP nominees face entrenched People Power Party incumbents or regional strongholds. Lingering effects of the 2024 martial-law episode continue to weigh on conservative prospects, yet local factors and voter turnout in competitive provinces keep outcomes fluid. This mix of national momentum and targeted uncertainties sustains trader consensus around 11–14 DP victories, with separation likely hinging on final polling shifts or turnout in the remaining battlegrounds before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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