Israeli military operations in Lebanon have focused on establishing and holding a security buffer in the south, including crossings of the Litani River and control of strategic ridges, while relying on airstrikes against Hezbollah targets in Beirut's southern suburbs rather than ground advances into the capital. Multiple U.S.-brokered ceasefire frameworks signed in 2026 have not produced full Israeli withdrawal from southern positions or an end to periodic strikes, amid ongoing Hezbollah rocket and drone activity. Direct Israel-Lebanon talks are scheduled in the coming weeks, with Israeli officials emphasizing the need for verified Hezbollah disarmament and Lebanese army control before any major redeployments. Trader pricing on entry into Beirut reflects the absence of announced plans for a broader ground campaign northward and the constraints imposed by diplomatic channels and U.S. involvement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$139,094 Vol.
2026/08/31
8月31日
<1%
9月30日
2%
$139,094 Vol.
8月31日
$9,136 Vol.
<1%
9月30日
$45 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.Israeli military operations in Lebanon have focused on establishing and holding a security buffer in the south, including crossings of the Litani River and control of strategic ridges, while relying on airstrikes against Hezbollah targets in Beirut's southern suburbs rather than ground advances into the capital. Multiple U.S.-brokered ceasefire frameworks signed in 2026 have not produced full Israeli withdrawal from southern positions or an end to periodic strikes, amid ongoing Hezbollah rocket and drone activity. Direct Israel-Lebanon talks are scheduled in the coming weeks, with Israeli officials emphasizing the need for verified Hezbollah disarmament and Lebanese army control before any major redeployments. Trader pricing on entry into Beirut reflects the absence of announced plans for a broader ground campaign northward and the constraints imposed by diplomatic channels and U.S. involvement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
マーケット開始日： Jul 31, 2026, 1:57 PM ET
音量
$139,094終了日
2026/09/30マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 1:57 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.Israeli military operations in Lebanon have focused on establishing and holding a security buffer in the south, including crossings of the Litani River and control of strategic ridges, while relying on airstrikes against Hezbollah targets in Beirut's southern suburbs rather than ground advances into the capital. Multiple U.S.-brokered ceasefire frameworks signed in 2026 have not produced full Israeli withdrawal from southern positions or an end to periodic strikes, amid ongoing Hezbollah rocket and drone activity. Direct Israel-Lebanon talks are scheduled in the coming weeks, with Israeli officials emphasizing the need for verified Hezbollah disarmament and Lebanese army control before any major redeployments. Trader pricing on entry into Beirut reflects the absence of announced plans for a broader ground campaign northward and the constraints imposed by diplomatic channels and U.S. involvement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
音量
$139,094終了日
2026/09/30マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 1:57 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Israeli military operations in Lebanon have focused on establishing and holding a security buffer in the south, including crossings of the Litani River and control of strategic ridges, while relying on airstrikes against Hezbollah targets in Beirut's southern suburbs rather than ground advances into the capital. Multiple U.S.-brokered ceasefire frameworks signed in 2026 have not produced full Israeli withdrawal from southern positions or an end to periodic strikes, amid ongoing Hezbollah rocket and drone activity. Direct Israel-Lebanon talks are scheduled in the coming weeks, with Israeli officials emphasizing the need for verified Hezbollah disarmament and Lebanese army control before any major redeployments. Trader pricing on entry into Beirut reflects the absence of announced plans for a broader ground campaign northward and the constraints imposed by diplomatic channels and U.S. involvement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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