South Korea’s Democratic Party holds a supermajority in the National Assembly, creating a high procedural barrier to impeaching President Lee Jae-myung, whose five-year term runs through 2030. A June 2026 citizen petition calling for his removal gathered over 100,000 signatures yet failed to advance, reflecting the ruling party’s seat advantage. Lee’s approval rating has softened to a record-low 44 percent amid local election fallout and economic pressures, but no major scandals, legislative gridlock, or sustained protests have emerged to shift momentum toward formal proceedings. Ongoing constitutional reform talks remain at the proposal stage and do not alter current term rules. Traders therefore assign only a low-single-digit probability to removal before 2027, consistent with institutional thresholds and the absence of credible opposition triggers.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
7% 確率
$19,133 Vol.
$19,133 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
7% 確率
$19,133 Vol.
$19,133 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.South Korea’s Democratic Party holds a supermajority in the National Assembly, creating a high procedural barrier to impeaching President Lee Jae-myung, whose five-year term runs through 2030. A June 2026 citizen petition calling for his removal gathered over 100,000 signatures yet failed to advance, reflecting the ruling party’s seat advantage. Lee’s approval rating has softened to a record-low 44 percent amid local election fallout and economic pressures, but no major scandals, legislative gridlock, or sustained protests have emerged to shift momentum toward formal proceedings. Ongoing constitutional reform talks remain at the proposal stage and do not alter current term rules. Traders therefore assign only a low-single-digit probability to removal before 2027, consistent with institutional thresholds and the absence of credible opposition triggers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
マーケット開始日： Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
音量
$19,133終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.South Korea’s Democratic Party holds a supermajority in the National Assembly, creating a high procedural barrier to impeaching President Lee Jae-myung, whose five-year term runs through 2030. A June 2026 citizen petition calling for his removal gathered over 100,000 signatures yet failed to advance, reflecting the ruling party’s seat advantage. Lee’s approval rating has softened to a record-low 44 percent amid local election fallout and economic pressures, but no major scandals, legislative gridlock, or sustained protests have emerged to shift momentum toward formal proceedings. Ongoing constitutional reform talks remain at the proposal stage and do not alter current term rules. Traders therefore assign only a low-single-digit probability to removal before 2027, consistent with institutional thresholds and the absence of credible opposition triggers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
音量
$19,133終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...South Korea’s Democratic Party holds a supermajority in the National Assembly, creating a high procedural barrier to impeaching President Lee Jae-myung, whose five-year term runs through 2030. A June 2026 citizen petition calling for his removal gathered over 100,000 signatures yet failed to advance, reflecting the ruling party’s seat advantage. Lee’s approval rating has softened to a record-low 44 percent amid local election fallout and economic pressures, but no major scandals, legislative gridlock, or sustained protests have emerged to shift momentum toward formal proceedings. Ongoing constitutional reform talks remain at the proposal stage and do not alter current term rules. Traders therefore assign only a low-single-digit probability to removal before 2027, consistent with institutional thresholds and the absence of credible opposition triggers.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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