Recent meteorological forecasts for Beijing indicate minimum temperatures near 20°C on September 2 under persistent high-pressure conditions and clear skies promoting radiative cooling overnight. Trader consensus, reflected in closely matched market-implied odds around 17°C versus 13°C or below, incorporates model variability in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat island effects, and potential subtle shifts in wind patterns or humidity. Early September climatology shows typical overnight lows of 18–21°C during this seasonal transition, with limited precipitation risk through the period supporting stable readings. Updated model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月2日の北京の最低気温は?
13°C or below 97%
20°C 84%
19°C 82%
15°C 71%
13°C or below
97%
14°C
41%
15°C
71%
16°C
31%
17°C
51%
18°C
71%
19°C
82%
20°C
84%
21°C
61%
22°C
23%
23°C or higher
48%
13°C or below 97%
20°C 84%
19°C 82%
15°C 71%
13°C or below
97%
14°C
41%
15°C
71%
16°C
31%
17°C
51%
18°C
71%
19°C
82%
20°C
84%
21°C
61%
22°C
23%
23°C or higher
48%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent meteorological forecasts for Beijing indicate minimum temperatures near 20°C on September 2 under persistent high-pressure conditions and clear skies promoting radiative cooling overnight. Trader consensus, reflected in closely matched market-implied odds around 17°C versus 13°C or below, incorporates model variability in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat island effects, and potential subtle shifts in wind patterns or humidity. Early September climatology shows typical overnight lows of 18–21°C during this seasonal transition, with limited precipitation risk through the period supporting stable readings. Updated model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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