**Forecast consensus points to a minimum temperature of 9–12°C in Cape Town on August 30, 2026, with model runs and observational trends supporting the tight clustering of market probabilities around 9–11°C.** Clear skies and moderate southerly to southeasterly winds (typically 10–20 km/h) are expected overnight, promoting radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure regime while limiting extreme drops. Dew points near 5–7°C and dry air further shape the overnight minimum, consistent with late-winter patterns where Cape Town’s Mediterranean climate yields average August lows near 8–10°C. Recent model guidance from sources including ECMWF-influenced outlooks and local stations shows the lowest temperatures occurring in the pre-dawn hours, with hourly profiles indicating values stabilizing around 10–11°C rather than plunging lower or remaining elevated. Uncertainty in exact resolution stems from minor variations in cloud cover timing, wind gusts, and local urban heat effects versus airport observations, keeping probabilities for 8°C, 9°C, 10°C, and 11°C closely matched near 26–28.5%. The low odds on 6°C or below reflect the absence of cold-air advection or frost conditions, while the modest probability on 16°C or higher aligns with the unlikelihood of suppressed nocturnal cooling under current synoptic setup. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日のケープタウンの最低気温は？
8月30日のケープタウンの最低気温は？
16°C or higher 55%
7°C 50%
13°C 50%
11°C 28%
新規
新規
2026/08/30
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
50%
8°C
26%
9°C
27%
10°C
27%
11°C
28%
12°C
26%
13°C
50%
14°C
16%
15°C
2%
16°C or higher
55%
16°C or higher 55%
7°C 50%
13°C 50%
11°C 28%
新規
新規
2026/08/30
6°C or below
$140 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$15 Vol.
50%
8°C
$0 Vol.
26%
9°C
$131 Vol.
27%
10°C
$0 Vol.
27%
11°C
$0 Vol.
28%
12°C
$0 Vol.
26%
13°C
$20 Vol.
50%
14°C
$10 Vol.
16%
15°C
$5 Vol.
2%
16°C or higher
$5 Vol.
55%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus points to a minimum temperature of 9–12°C in Cape Town on August 30, 2026, with model runs and observational trends supporting the tight clustering of market probabilities around 9–11°C.**
Clear skies and moderate southerly to southeasterly winds (typically 10–20 km/h) are expected overnight, promoting radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure regime while limiting extreme drops. Dew points near 5–7°C and dry air further shape the overnight minimum, consistent with late-winter patterns where Cape Town’s Mediterranean climate yields average August lows near 8–10°C. Recent model guidance from sources including ECMWF-influenced outlooks and local stations shows the lowest temperatures occurring in the pre-dawn hours, with hourly profiles indicating values stabilizing around 10–11°C rather than plunging lower or remaining elevated.
Uncertainty in exact resolution stems from minor variations in cloud cover timing, wind gusts, and local urban heat effects versus airport observations, keeping probabilities for 8°C, 9°C, 10°C, and 11°C closely matched near 26–28.5%. The low odds on 6°C or below reflect the absence of cold-air advection or frost conditions, while the modest probability on 16°C or higher aligns with the unlikelihood of suppressed nocturnal cooling under current synoptic setup. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
音量
$326終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus points to a minimum temperature of 9–12°C in Cape Town on August 30, 2026, with model runs and observational trends supporting the tight clustering of market probabilities around 9–11°C.**
Clear skies and moderate southerly to southeasterly winds (typically 10–20 km/h) are expected overnight, promoting radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure regime while limiting extreme drops. Dew points near 5–7°C and dry air further shape the overnight minimum, consistent with late-winter patterns where Cape Town’s Mediterranean climate yields average August lows near 8–10°C. Recent model guidance from sources including ECMWF-influenced outlooks and local stations shows the lowest temperatures occurring in the pre-dawn hours, with hourly profiles indicating values stabilizing around 10–11°C rather than plunging lower or remaining elevated.
Uncertainty in exact resolution stems from minor variations in cloud cover timing, wind gusts, and local urban heat effects versus airport observations, keeping probabilities for 8°C, 9°C, 10°C, and 11°C closely matched near 26–28.5%. The low odds on 6°C or below reflect the absence of cold-air advection or frost conditions, while the modest probability on 16°C or higher aligns with the unlikelihood of suppressed nocturnal cooling under current synoptic setup. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$326終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET**Forecast consensus points to a minimum temperature of 9–12°C in Cape Town on August 30, 2026, with model runs and observational trends supporting the tight clustering of market probabilities around 9–11°C.** Clear skies and moderate southerly to southeasterly winds (typically 10–20 km/h) are expected overnight, promoting radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure regime while limiting extreme drops. Dew points near 5–7°C and dry air further shape the overnight minimum, consistent with late-winter patterns where Cape Town’s Mediterranean climate yields average August lows near 8–10°C. Recent model guidance from sources including ECMWF-influenced outlooks and local stations shows the lowest temperatures occurring in the pre-dawn hours, with hourly profiles indicating values stabilizing around 10–11°C rather than plunging lower or remaining elevated. Uncertainty in exact resolution stems from minor variations in cloud cover timing, wind gusts, and local urban heat effects versus airport observations, keeping probabilities for 8°C, 9°C, 10°C, and 11°C closely matched near 26–28.5%. The low odds on 6°C or below reflect the absence of cold-air advection or frost conditions, while the modest probability on 16°C or higher aligns with the unlikelihood of suppressed nocturnal cooling under current synoptic setup. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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