Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance points to rain and a daily range of 26–30°C on June 18, keeping the overnight minimum near the lower end of the seasonal 26–28°C climatological band. Persistent cloud cover and showers limit radiative cooling after sunset, while elevated humidity and light winds further suppress temperature drops. Ensemble model spreads remain narrow, with small differences in rainfall timing or wind speed able to shift the recorded low by 1°C between the closely matched 26°C and 27°C outcomes. Above-normal seasonal temperatures provide a slight upward bias, yet the immediate synoptic pattern favors the lower values currently leading market-implied odds. Updated HKO forecasts and model runs tomorrow morning will be the key catalysts for any late adjustments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月18日の香港の最低気温は?
26°C 47%
25°C 35%
27℃ 13%
28°C 3.1%
22°C以下
<1%
23℃
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
35%
26°C
47%
27℃
13%
28°C
3%
29℃
1%
30°C
1%
31℃
<1%
32℃以上
<1%
26°C 47%
25°C 35%
27℃ 13%
28°C 3.1%
22°C以下
<1%
23℃
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
35%
26°C
47%
27℃
13%
28°C
3%
29℃
1%
30°C
1%
31℃
<1%
32℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance points to rain and a daily range of 26–30°C on June 18, keeping the overnight minimum near the lower end of the seasonal 26–28°C climatological band. Persistent cloud cover and showers limit radiative cooling after sunset, while elevated humidity and light winds further suppress temperature drops. Ensemble model spreads remain narrow, with small differences in rainfall timing or wind speed able to shift the recorded low by 1°C between the closely matched 26°C and 27°C outcomes. Above-normal seasonal temperatures provide a slight upward bias, yet the immediate synoptic pattern favors the lower values currently leading market-implied odds. Updated HKO forecasts and model runs tomorrow morning will be the key catalysts for any late adjustments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問