Persistent high pressure and clear skies over central Spain are sustaining a warm air mass into early September, with official forecasts from agencies like AEMET showing daytime highs near 38°C and overnight lows around 18–19°C for Madrid on September 4. Light northeasterly winds and low humidity support radiational cooling after sunset, but minimal cloud cover and the lingering summer pattern limit further drops. Historical September lows average 15–17°C, yet current conditions favor values near the upper end of that range. Trader consensus remains tight between 17°C or below, 18°C, and 19°C because small forecast shifts in wind speed or boundary-layer mixing could alter the minimum by 1–2°C before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月4日のマドリードの最低気温は?
17℃以下 91%
22℃ 86%
23°C 86%
24℃ 86%
17℃以下
91%
18℃
50%
19°C
45%
20℃
43%
21℃
84%
22℃
86%
23°C
86%
24℃
86%
25℃
86%
26°C
2%
27℃以上
49%
17℃以下 91%
22℃ 86%
23°C 86%
24℃ 86%
17℃以下
91%
18℃
50%
19°C
45%
20℃
43%
21℃
84%
22℃
86%
23°C
86%
24℃
86%
25℃
86%
26°C
2%
27℃以上
49%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent high pressure and clear skies over central Spain are sustaining a warm air mass into early September, with official forecasts from agencies like AEMET showing daytime highs near 38°C and overnight lows around 18–19°C for Madrid on September 4. Light northeasterly winds and low humidity support radiational cooling after sunset, but minimal cloud cover and the lingering summer pattern limit further drops. Historical September lows average 15–17°C, yet current conditions favor values near the upper end of that range. Trader consensus remains tight between 17°C or below, 18°C, and 19°C because small forecast shifts in wind speed or boundary-layer mixing could alter the minimum by 1–2°C before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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