Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a mild overnight period into September 19 with minimum temperatures likely settling between 10–12 °C under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and high pressure maintaining stable conditions. This setup favors radiative cooling limited by cloud cover and dew points near 9–11 °C, keeping the daily low well above seasonal extremes but below the long-term average high of 19.2 °C. Trader sentiment splits between sub-7 °C and 16 °C-plus outcomes because small differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact cloud timing, or model bias in the final 24 hours can shift the recorded minimum by several degrees; updated runs from agencies like the German Weather Service will clarify whether clearer skies allow deeper cooling or if increasing moisture prevents it. Historical analogs show September 19 lows averaging 9.7 °C, underscoring how current mild advection keeps probabilities balanced near the middle bins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月19日のミュンヘンの最低気温は?
16°C以上 93%
6℃以下 85%
11℃ 39%
12℃ 39%
6℃以下
85%
7°C
25%
8°C
24%
9°C
21%
10°C
21%
11℃
39%
12℃
39%
13℃
39%
14°C
5%
15℃
5%
16°C以上
93%
16°C以上 93%
6℃以下 85%
11℃ 39%
12℃ 39%
6℃以下
85%
7°C
25%
8°C
24%
9°C
21%
10°C
21%
11℃
39%
12℃
39%
13℃
39%
14°C
5%
15℃
5%
16°C以上
93%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a mild overnight period into September 19 with minimum temperatures likely settling between 10–12 °C under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and high pressure maintaining stable conditions. This setup favors radiative cooling limited by cloud cover and dew points near 9–11 °C, keeping the daily low well above seasonal extremes but below the long-term average high of 19.2 °C. Trader sentiment splits between sub-7 °C and 16 °C-plus outcomes because small differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact cloud timing, or model bias in the final 24 hours can shift the recorded minimum by several degrees; updated runs from agencies like the German Weather Service will clarify whether clearer skies allow deeper cooling or if increasing moisture prevents it. Historical analogs show September 19 lows averaging 9.7 °C, underscoring how current mild advection keeps probabilities balanced near the middle bins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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