Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international sources converge on a minimum temperature of 23–24°C for Shanghai on September 18, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds under 10 km/h, and high humidity near 70% that limits overnight radiative cooling. These conditions follow a stable synoptic pattern with no strong frontal systems or tropical influences, producing implied probabilities of 39.5% for 23°C and 36.5% for 24°C. Historical September minima average around 22–24°C, providing context for the tight spread. Final resolution depends on official overnight observations, with any model revisions from updated runs potentially shifting trader consensus before midnight local time.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月18日の上海の最低気温は？
9月18日の上海の最低気温は？
23°C 41%
24℃ 41%
25℃ 11%
22℃ 8%
新規
新規
2026/09/18
19℃以下
<1%
20℃
<1%
21℃
4%
22℃
8%
23°C
41%
24℃
41%
25℃
11%
26℃
4%
27℃
3%
28℃
<1%
29℃以上
<1%
23°C 41%
24℃ 41%
25℃ 11%
22℃ 8%
新規
新規
2026/09/18
19℃以下
$114 Vol.
<1%
20℃
$64 Vol.
<1%
21℃
$0 Vol.
4%
22℃
$2 Vol.
8%
23°C
$821 Vol.
41%
24℃
$1,288 Vol.
41%
25℃
$558 Vol.
11%
26℃
$0 Vol.
4%
27℃
$0 Vol.
3%
28℃
$64 Vol.
<1%
29℃以上
$89 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international sources converge on a minimum temperature of 23–24°C for Shanghai on September 18, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds under 10 km/h, and high humidity near 70% that limits overnight radiative cooling. These conditions follow a stable synoptic pattern with no strong frontal systems or tropical influences, producing implied probabilities of 39.5% for 23°C and 36.5% for 24°C. Historical September minima average around 22–24°C, providing context for the tight spread. Final resolution depends on official overnight observations, with any model revisions from updated runs potentially shifting trader consensus before midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$3,001終了日
2026/09/18マーケット開始日
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international sources converge on a minimum temperature of 23–24°C for Shanghai on September 18, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds under 10 km/h, and high humidity near 70% that limits overnight radiative cooling. These conditions follow a stable synoptic pattern with no strong frontal systems or tropical influences, producing implied probabilities of 39.5% for 23°C and 36.5% for 24°C. Historical September minima average around 22–24°C, providing context for the tight spread. Final resolution depends on official overnight observations, with any model revisions from updated runs potentially shifting trader consensus before midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$3,001終了日
2026/09/18マーケット開始日
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETForecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international sources converge on a minimum temperature of 23–24°C for Shanghai on September 18, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds under 10 km/h, and high humidity near 70% that limits overnight radiative cooling. These conditions follow a stable synoptic pattern with no strong frontal systems or tropical influences, producing implied probabilities of 39.5% for 23°C and 36.5% for 24°C. Historical September minima average around 22–24°C, providing context for the tight spread. Final resolution depends on official overnight observations, with any model revisions from updated runs potentially shifting trader consensus before midnight local time.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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