Recent forecast guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to typical subtropical monsoon conditions in Shenzhen, with overnight lows holding near 26–28°C amid high humidity and scattered showers or thunderstorms. Cloud cover and rainfall from lingering tropical moisture can suppress daytime heating and enhance radiative cooling at night, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 22°C or below as the implied favorite. Historical August baselines show average lows of 25–27°C, but model runs through the final 48 hours before August 26 carry uncertainty ranges of several degrees due to variable steering patterns and precipitation timing. Updated NWP outputs and local observations ahead of the daily minimum will be the key drivers shifting these probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月26日の深センの最低気温は？
8月26日の深センの最低気温は？
22°C or below 90%
26°C 48%
23°C 46%
24°C 46%
新規
新規
2026/08/26
22°C or below
90%
23°C
46%
24°C
46%
25°C
46%
26°C
48%
27°C
30%
28°C
25%
29°C
23%
30°C
45%
31°C
45%
32°C or higher
1%
22°C or below 90%
26°C 48%
23°C 46%
24°C 46%
新規
新規
2026/08/26
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
90%
23°C
$0 Vol.
46%
24°C
$0 Vol.
46%
25°C
$0 Vol.
46%
26°C
$0 Vol.
48%
27°C
$0 Vol.
30%
28°C
$0 Vol.
25%
29°C
$0 Vol.
23%
30°C
$0 Vol.
45%
31°C
$0 Vol.
45%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to typical subtropical monsoon conditions in Shenzhen, with overnight lows holding near 26–28°C amid high humidity and scattered showers or thunderstorms. Cloud cover and rainfall from lingering tropical moisture can suppress daytime heating and enhance radiative cooling at night, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 22°C or below as the implied favorite. Historical August baselines show average lows of 25–27°C, but model runs through the final 48 hours before August 26 carry uncertainty ranges of several degrees due to variable steering patterns and precipitation timing. Updated NWP outputs and local observations ahead of the daily minimum will be the key drivers shifting these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/26マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to typical subtropical monsoon conditions in Shenzhen, with overnight lows holding near 26–28°C amid high humidity and scattered showers or thunderstorms. Cloud cover and rainfall from lingering tropical moisture can suppress daytime heating and enhance radiative cooling at night, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 22°C or below as the implied favorite. Historical August baselines show average lows of 25–27°C, but model runs through the final 48 hours before August 26 carry uncertainty ranges of several degrees due to variable steering patterns and precipitation timing. Updated NWP outputs and local observations ahead of the daily minimum will be the key drivers shifting these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/26マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecast guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to typical subtropical monsoon conditions in Shenzhen, with overnight lows holding near 26–28°C amid high humidity and scattered showers or thunderstorms. Cloud cover and rainfall from lingering tropical moisture can suppress daytime heating and enhance radiative cooling at night, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 22°C or below as the implied favorite. Historical August baselines show average lows of 25–27°C, but model runs through the final 48 hours before August 26 carry uncertainty ranges of several degrees due to variable steering patterns and precipitation timing. Updated NWP outputs and local observations ahead of the daily minimum will be the key drivers shifting these probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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