Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate a minimum temperature in Tokyo on August 28 most likely between 24–26 °C, with trader-implied odds reflecting this narrow range amid persistent cloud cover and scattered showers. These conditions limit radiational cooling overnight while light northerly winds and high humidity maintain elevated dew points near 24 °C. The slight market preference for 25 °C over 26 °C aligns with model consensus on modest clearing allowing brief dips, though timing of any precipitation or wind shifts introduces uncertainty typical of late-summer monsoon influences. Historical August minima average around 23 °C, so current guidance suggests a modestly warmer night. Updated model runs and JMA briefings expected overnight could refine the exact low before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月28日の東京の最低気温は？
8月28日の東京の最低気温は？
25°C 39%
26°C 39%
27°C 18%
24°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/28
22°C or below
6%
23°C
9%
24°C
10%
25°C
46%
26°C
39%
27°C
10%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 39%
26°C 39%
27°C 18%
24°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/28
22°C or below
$224 Vol.
6%
23°C
$64 Vol.
9%
24°C
$96 Vol.
10%
25°C
$489 Vol.
46%
26°C
$510 Vol.
39%
27°C
$63 Vol.
10%
28°C
$10 Vol.
2%
29°C
$32 Vol.
1%
30°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$142 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$217 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate a minimum temperature in Tokyo on August 28 most likely between 24–26 °C, with trader-implied odds reflecting this narrow range amid persistent cloud cover and scattered showers. These conditions limit radiational cooling overnight while light northerly winds and high humidity maintain elevated dew points near 24 °C. The slight market preference for 25 °C over 26 °C aligns with model consensus on modest clearing allowing brief dips, though timing of any precipitation or wind shifts introduces uncertainty typical of late-summer monsoon influences. Historical August minima average around 23 °C, so current guidance suggests a modestly warmer night. Updated model runs and JMA briefings expected overnight could refine the exact low before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$1,642終了日
2026/08/28マーケット開始日
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate a minimum temperature in Tokyo on August 28 most likely between 24–26 °C, with trader-implied odds reflecting this narrow range amid persistent cloud cover and scattered showers. These conditions limit radiational cooling overnight while light northerly winds and high humidity maintain elevated dew points near 24 °C. The slight market preference for 25 °C over 26 °C aligns with model consensus on modest clearing allowing brief dips, though timing of any precipitation or wind shifts introduces uncertainty typical of late-summer monsoon influences. Historical August minima average around 23 °C, so current guidance suggests a modestly warmer night. Updated model runs and JMA briefings expected overnight could refine the exact low before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,642終了日
2026/08/28マーケット開始日
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate a minimum temperature in Tokyo on August 28 most likely between 24–26 °C, with trader-implied odds reflecting this narrow range amid persistent cloud cover and scattered showers. These conditions limit radiational cooling overnight while light northerly winds and high humidity maintain elevated dew points near 24 °C. The slight market preference for 25 °C over 26 °C aligns with model consensus on modest clearing allowing brief dips, though timing of any precipitation or wind shifts introduces uncertainty typical of late-summer monsoon influences. Historical August minima average around 23 °C, so current guidance suggests a modestly warmer night. Updated model runs and JMA briefings expected overnight could refine the exact low before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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